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Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Surjit S Bhalla

The writer is contributing editor, 'The Indian Express', and senior India analyst, The Observatory Group, a New York-based macro policy advisory group

Job gains versus fake analysis
Sat, Jul 14, 2018

Let us debate facts or close approximations. Let discussions on government’s economic performance rise above the unintelligent discourse that passes for analysis

India is middle income now: Raise the poverty line
Sat, Jun 30, 2018

Regardless of the poverty line used, it appears that India is on track for the fastest pace of poverty reduction in the period between 2011/12 and 2017/18

Let the elite pay
Sat, Jun 23, 2018

To reform education system, provide a level playing field, regardless of caste, sex, or income. Stop subsidising higher education for the rich.

Inflation, not yet viral
Sat, Jun 02, 2018

Pronouncing the rebirth, or even significant acceleration in inflation, may be a trifle premature

Will Karnataka toll for the Congress?
Sat, May 12, 2018

The Congress stands to both gain, and lose, more from the Karnataka poll results than the BJP. That is the simple asymmetry behind this important election

Robust job growth, not fake news
Sat, Apr 28, 2018

The best macro-economic performance ever in India was obtained in 2014-18. Modi’s challenge remains the reining in of the enemies within.

No Proof Required: Plagiarism at the World Bank?
Sat, Apr 21, 2018

At a minimum, the World Bank is guilty of following the not so scholarly tradition of Western scholars to ignore scholarship from elsewhere, even when it is right under their nose.

Goebbels and fake news — spot the difference
Sat, Mar 31, 2018

The Opposition is trying to create an alternate narrative about the political and economic reality under the Modi government.

The little-revenue tax
Sat, Feb 17, 2018

LTCG is a bad idea. The best policy for the taxman is one that maximises revenue, not one that maximises his morality, or his employment, or discretionary powers

Revolution and regression
Sat, Feb 10, 2018

Tax buoyancy has helped the government to budget for schemes that make transfer of revenues to the bottom third of the population possible. There was no reason for the long-term capital gains tax

Smart policies for redistribution
Sat, Jan 27, 2018

India can, and must, reform its welfare system. More efficient redistribution is desirable for ethical and political reasons

Piketty has got it wrong
Sat, Jan 20, 2018

The implied savings estimates for India, derived from his calculations of income distribution, do not conform to any known model of savings behaviour

Tax-fruits of demonetisation
Wed, Jan 17, 2018

A direct outcome of demonetisation is a sharp increase in 2017-18 in tax buoyancy (revenues per unit of growth). Given this ‘unexpected’ result, will the knee-jerk critics of demonetisation please stand down?

World economy: Looking up
Mon, Jan 01, 2018

It is on course for high growth, low inflation, lower taxation, increased income support for the needy. And declining inequality.

No proof required: Gujarat 2017, lessons for all
Sat, Dec 23, 2017

This election was the first since slow economic growth was apparent and in the data. A slow economy, however, was not the only factor — after all, in Himachal Pradesh (HP), the BJP won by a large margin.

No Proof Required: Gujarat 2017- A turning point?
Thu, Dec 14, 2017

For whom will the election bells toll -- a confident BJP or a reviving Congress? The opinion polls suggest that this may not be a Rahul Gandhi moment.

Give accountability a chance
Sat, Dec 02, 2017

Here is a modest proposal to bring about much-needed accountability to the decisions of the RBI (and MPC): Let the RBI governor be questioned by Parliament twice a year

No proof required: Making RBI accountable
Sat, Nov 25, 2017

The first year of operation of the Monetary Policy Committee has imposed considerable costs on the economy with very few benefits. What explains its decisions?

Dead parrots tell no tales
Sat, Nov 11, 2017

A forthcoming book explains that inflation, which haunted the world in the Seventies and the Eighties, is now only a windmill to be tilted at

No Proof Required: Demonetisation and its contents
Wed, Nov 08, 2017

It was about both politics and economics. It is an acknowledged political success and early ‘returns’ indicate an economic success story as well.