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Saturday, May 28, 2022

Udit Misra

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Udit Misra

Udit Misra is Deputy Associate Editor

ExplainSpeaking: Fiscal in the time of monetary tightening
Wed, May 25, 2022

Thanks to surging inflation, RBI is already on its way to raising interest rates and containing excess money sloshing in the economy. What should the government fiscal policy (i.e. expenditure and taxation) stance be in such an environment?

Inflation in wholesale prices: Looking back, looking ahead
Wed, May 18, 2022

High WPI inflation will further convince RBI to raise interest rates and do so urgently.

ExplainSpeaking: Why Govt of India is wrong to claim inflation hit the rich more than the poor
Tue, May 17, 2022

High inflation in one year feeds into higher prices in the subsequent years even if the inflation rate, per se, moderates. In India, it is the urban poor who are the worst affected by high inflation

Explained: The cause and effect of rising inflation
Fri, May 13, 2022

Inflation in April is at its highest in the last 8 years, and almost twice the RBI's target. A look at the factors that have kept inflation high since October 2019, and how it impacts consumers and the economy.

Explained: What’s causing high inflation and where?
Fri, May 13, 2022

West Bengal, Madhya Pradesh and Telangana are the worst hit by inflation

Explained: Making sense of exchange rate
Wed, May 11, 2022

The rupee fell to an all-time low on Monday, and is currently at 77.20 to the American dollar. What is the significance of this exchange rate, how is it determined, and what are the takeaways from its fluctuations?

ExplainSpeaking: RBI and the US Fed — the contrasting tale of two central banks
Tue, May 10, 2022

Containing inflation will dampen economic growth and the availability of jobs. But while the US has 2 jobs for every unemployed person, India must brace for even higher unemployment. Here's why

Explained: 5 indicators that RBI dropped the ball on managing inflation
Thu, May 05, 2022

At least five indicators show India's central bank fell behind the curve on managing inflation — glossing over mounting macroeconomic evidence and delaying important policy decision.

ExplainSpeaking: 11 charts from RBI that explain Indian economic past, present and future
Tue, May 03, 2022

The latest RBI report states that India is expected to overcome Covid-19 losses in 2034-35. But even this projection is based on a rather optimistic assumption.

Explained: State of (un)employment in India
Sat, Apr 30, 2022

India’s already low labour force participation rate has fallen further to 40% in December 2021, latest CMIE data show. What is the significance of LFPR and employment rate, and why are fewer people seeking jobs?

ExplainSpeaking: How to read IMF’s latest GDP forecast for India
Tue, Apr 26, 2022

The International Monetary Fund's latest World Economic Outlook has rolled back growth prospects for the world and for India. What are the reasons, and how does the outlook differ for advanced and other economics?

ExplainSpeaking: Indian stock markets — what lies ahead?
Tue, Apr 19, 2022

Domestic retail investors have been net buyers even as Foreign Portfolio Investors have been net sellers. What explains this difference in investing behaviour? And is it about to change?

Explained: Oil bonds, and to what extent they tie the government’s hands
Tue, Apr 19, 2022

The Finance Minister has said the government cannot bring down taxes - and thus oil prices - because it has to pay for oil bonds issued by the UPA. What are oil bonds, and to what extend do they tie the government's hands?

ExplainSpeaking: Is the RBI a dove or a hawk or a pigeon?
Wed, Apr 13, 2022

The RBI has signalled a stark jump in its inflation forecast — not just for the current financial year (2022-23) but also for the next one (2023-24). And yet it has neither raised the interest rates nor even changed its policy stance. What explains this?

Explained: How electoral bonds work, and why they face criticism
Thu, Apr 07, 2022

The Chief Justice of India has assured petitioners that the Supreme Court will take up for hearing a pending plea challenging the Electoral Bond Scheme, 2018. What are electoral bonds and why are they facing criticism?

ExplainSpeaking: How is India’s exchange rate related to its current account deficit, forex reserves, and balance of payment?
Wed, Apr 06, 2022

Essentially, the BoP allows us to figure out the rupee’s exchange rate vis-a-vis the different currencies. What is BoP, how does it balance and what does RBI do with it? We explain.

Explained: What is the Current Account Deficit, which widened in Q3 of the last FY?
Sat, Apr 02, 2022

The widening of CAD in Q3 of 2021-22 was mainly on account of higher trade deficit, according to the Reserve Bank of India.

Explained: Putin’s demand for trade in rubles, and how it could work
Thu, Mar 31, 2022

Why has Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered that importers of gas must pay in rubles rather than dollars or euros. What are the ramifications for Russia and the West, as well as India? How does China gain?

ExplainSpeaking: What does the $400 billion exports record hide?
Wed, Mar 30, 2022

India’s merchandise exports had reached a level of $305 billion as early as 2011-12. Since then exports have stagnated. That's why, even at $410 billion, as a percentage of GDP, India’s exports are far off the peak they reached a decade ago.

ExplainSpeaking: Why the RBI will be forced to revise its inflation forecast next month
Tue, Mar 22, 2022

Retail inflation in February reached an eight-month high and breached the RBI's comfort zone. This has happened without the domestic oil prices reflecting the higher crude oil prices. What factors will determine inflation from here on?

Everyday Economics: What are WPI and CPI inflation rates?
Thu, Mar 17, 2022

WPI and CPI are two different baskets of goods and services. The government assigns different weights to different goods and services based on what is relevant for those two types of consumers.

ExplainSpeaking: How high crude oil prices threaten India’s economic recovery
Tue, Mar 15, 2022

If domestic prices were to be brought in line with the global spike then a litre of petrol and diesel would go up by Rs 25 and Rs 35, respectively, and a cylinder of LPG would be costlier by around Rs 400.

Looming oil crisis: What now
Wed, Mar 09, 2022

With oil imports from Russia banned by the US and being phased out by the UK, crude prices are set to rise, particularly in the US and Europe. How much oil does Russia supply, and can the gap be met?

ExplainSpeaking: Will soaring oil prices cause ‘stagflation’ in India?
Tue, Mar 08, 2022

While most eyes will be on the five-state Assembly election results, surging crude oil prices and weak GDP data appear to be creating the grounds for stagflation in India

GDP 2nd Advance Estimates: what’s changed since 1st, what it means
Tue, Mar 01, 2022

The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation Monday released the Second Advance Estimates of GDP for the current financial year. How many revisions of GDP estimates are done, and why? What is the highlight in the SAE? Is this the final picture?

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