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Karnataka Exit Poll 2018 highlights: Pollsters predict cliffhanger contest between BJP, Congress

Karnataka Exit Poll 2018 highlights: Voting for 222 of the 224 assembly seats in the state was held on Saturday. Any party will need the support of 113 MLAs to form a new government.

By: Express Web Desk | New Delhi |
Updated: May 13, 2018 12:44:18 am
Karnataka Election 2018 Exit Poll LIVE UPDATES:  Karnataka Exit Poll 2018: Polling was held in 222 constituencies of the 224-member Assembly as elections in two constituencies, Jayanagara and Rajrajeshwari were countermanded.

Karnataka Election 2018 Exit Poll Live:  Karnataka is heading towards a hung assembly with both the Congress and the BJP failing to get a clear majority, if one goes by the results of the exit polls announced on Saturday evening, just after the polling ended in the southern state.

Most of the exit polls predicted a cliffhanger contest between BJP and the Congress. They also predicted JDS to be the kingmaker. The high-stakes Karnataka assembly elections saw a 70 per cent voter turnout today. Counting of votes will take place on May 15.

Follow Karnataka Assembly elections 2018 Highlights

Polling was held in 222 constituencies of the 224-member Assembly as elections in two constituencies were been countermanded—in Jayanagara, following the death of BJP candidate and sitting MLA B N Vijaykumar—and in Rajrajeshwari Nagar after the Election Commission said there is “definite inference” to suggest that efforts were made to induce voters.

READ | Exit polls 2018 on Karnataka Assembly elections

Live Blog

Karnataka Election 2018 Exit Poll Highlights. Here are the developments from the day

20:54 (IST)12 May 2018
Dighvijay News exit poll predicts 76-80 seats for Congress

Dighvijay News exit poll predicts 76-80 seats for Congress, 103-107 for BJP, 31-35 seats for JDS and  4-8 seats for Others.

 
20:51 (IST)12 May 2018
Times Now-Today's Chankya predicts 120 seats for BJP

Times Now-Today's Chankya has predicted 120 seats for BJP - with 39% vote share. It is well above the halfway mark. It has predicted 73 seats for Congress and 26 seats for JD(S).

 
 
20:47 (IST)12 May 2018
Re-polling in Hebbal assembly constituency's Polling Station Number 2 on May 14
20:24 (IST)12 May 2018
India Today-Axis My India exit poll predicts 106-118 seats for Congress
20:19 (IST)12 May 2018
ABP C-Voter exit poll predicts 97-109 seats for BJP
19:38 (IST)12 May 2018
News Nation exit poll predicts 105-109 seats for BJP

News Nation exit poll predicts 105-109 seats for BJP, 71-75 for Congress, 36-40 seats for Congress and 3-5 seats for Others.

19:36 (IST)12 May 2018

Times Now-VMR exit poll also predicted that the JD(S)-BSP combine will record a dip of 1.3 per cent in its vote share as compared to 2013.

19:35 (IST)12 May 2018
BJP to secure around 90 seats, predicts Times Now-VMR exit poll

Times Now-VMR exit poll predicts that BJP will significantly improve its performance this time around, with around 87 seats, more than double the 40 seats it secured in the 2013 assembly polls. The ruling Congress is likely to secure 90-103 seats in the 224-member state assembly, with the BJP coming in at a close second with 80-93 seats. The JD(S)-BSP combine will finish third with 31-39 seats while other parties in the fray will bag 2-4 seats.

19:32 (IST)12 May 2018

Most pre-poll surveys have predicted a fractured mandate and suggested that former prime minister H D Deve Gowda's JD(S) may play the kingmaker's role. It appears Karnataka is heading towards a hung assembly with both the Congress and the BJP failing to get a clear majority. 

19:30 (IST)12 May 2018
no anti-incumbency factor in this election, says India Today-Axis My India exit poll

India Today-Axis My India exit poll also found that there was almost no anti-incumbency factor in the Karnataka Assembly election. 

19:28 (IST)12 May 2018
Advantage Congress in Karnataka, says India Today-Axis My India exit poll

As per the India Today-Axis My India exit poll, the Congress has emerged as the single-largest party in the Karnataka Assembly election. The ruling party is likely to win 106-118 seats with 39 per cent vote share. The Congress had won 122 seats in the last Karnataka Assembly election in 2013. The BJP is likely to win 79-92 seats with 35 per cent of total votes polled in the assembly elections in Karnataka. The BJP had won 40 seats in 2013 state elections.

19:04 (IST)12 May 2018
EC says 70 % voter turnout till 6 pm

Election Commission has said that the voter turnout has reached 70 per cent till 6pm.  The turnout figures are, however, likely to go up.

19:02 (IST)12 May 2018
Newsx-CNX exit poll predicts 102-106 seats for BJP

Newsx-CNX exit poll predicts 102-106 seats for BJP, 72-75 seats for Congress, 35-38 seats for JDS and 3-6 seats for others

18:57 (IST)12 May 2018
ABP C-Voter exit poll predicts 97-109 seats for BJP

ABP C-Voter exit poll predicts97-109 seats for BJP, 87-99 seats for Congress and 21-30 seats for JDS.



18:48 (IST)12 May 2018
Republic TV exit poll predicts 95-114 seats for BJP

Republic TV-Jan ki Baat exit poll predicts 95-114 seats for BJP, 73-82 seats for Congress, 32-43 seats for JDS and 2-3 seats for Others. 

18:45 (IST)12 May 2018

India Today exit poll, which took a sample size of 51,510, suggests that Congress party is emerging as the single-largest party in Karnataka. 

18:44 (IST)12 May 2018
Suvarna's exit poll predicts 106 to 118 seats for Congress

Local Kannada channel, Suvarna's exit poll predicts 106 to 118 seats for Congress; 79-92 seats for BJP;  22-30 seats for JD (S) and 1-4 seats for others. 

18:41 (IST)12 May 2018

Both Times Now and India Today exit polls have so far predicted that Congress will emerge as the single largest party in Karnataka. Both have predicted over 100 seats for the Rahul Gandhi-led party. The halfway mark in the assembly is 112 seats.

18:34 (IST)12 May 2018
Times Now-VMR exit poll predicts 90-103 seats for Congress

Times Now-VMR exit poll predicts 90-103 seats for Congress, 80-93 for BJP,  30-39 seats for JD (S) and 2-4 seats for others.

18:32 (IST)12 May 2018
India Today-Axis My India predicts 106-118 seats for Congress

22-30 to 30 for JD(S), 1-4 seats for Others, 79-92 seats for BJP and 106-118 seats for Congress, predicts India Today exit poll. Congress in Karnataka is expected to be the single-largest party with 39 per cent vote share. The exit poll suggests that Congress enjoys the support of Minorities (Muslims & Christians), Kurubas and SC & ST which constitutes 48% of Karnataka's population.

Among the major national parties contesting the elections are Bharatiya Janata Party, Congress, Janata Dal and Janata Dal (Secular). However, satraps like Coorg National Council, Kannad Chalavali Vatal Paksha, Karnataka Congress Party, Karnataka Kranti Ranga and Karnataka Vikas Party are influential among their respective castes.

The assembly polls in Karnataka are being seen as a precursor to the 2019 Lok Sabha polls. The Congress will be aiming to replicate its 2013 performance when it had won 120 seats in the House — while the BJP will be hoping to recover lost ground. The JD(S) may play kingmaker in the event of a hung Assembly.

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