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Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh Exit Poll Results Live Updates: BJP set to return for 7th term in Gujarat; close contest in Himachal

Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh Exit Polls live updates: The results of the Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh Assembly elections will be declared on December 8.

Gujarat, Himachal Exit poll liveThe results of the Assembly elections in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh will be declared on December 8.

Gujarat Assembly Election Results | Himachal Pradesh Assembly Election Results | Assembly Elections Results Analysis: Multiple exit poll results released on Monday predicted the Bharatiya Janata Party would return for a seventh straight term in Gujarat. The saffron party is also expected to win an unprecedented second term in Himachal Pradesh, however, by a smaller margin, data showed.

The Exit Poll of TV9 predicted the BJP winning the Gujarat Assembly elections with 125-130 seats, while Congress is expected to get 30-40 seats. Meanwhile, Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is predicted to win 3-5 seats while others would get 3-7 seats. Jan Ki Baat predicted BJP’s victory in Gujarat with 117 to 140 seats, while Congress is expected to get 34 to 51 seats. Meanwhile, it predicted AAP would win 6 to 13 seats.

Exit polls for Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh

The results of the Assembly elections will be declared on December 8. Himachal Pradesh saw a voter turnout of nearly 66 per cent. The BJP is hoping to beat precedent and return to power in the state as Congress looks for electoral revival. In Gujarat, the BJP is locked into a three-way battle with a diminishing Congress and the new entrant — the AAP.

Live Blog

Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh Exit Polls Results Live Updates: Here are curated updates from the exit polls of India Today, CNN-News18, Aaj Tak and NDTV.

14:48 (IST)06 Dec 2022
Gujarat BJP upbeat after exit polls predict big majority

The Gujarat Bharatiya Janata Party unit is upbeat and confident of forming the next government in the state with all the exit polls predicting a big mandate for the saffron outfit. Gujarat BJP's chief spokesperson Yamal Vyas claimed the new poll entrant Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) will not win a single seat in the 182-member state Assembly.

Despite an aggressive poll campaign by the AAP and its lucrative promises, Arvind Kejriwal-led party was projected to bag anything between two and 13 seats, as per the exit polls. The majority mark in Gujarat is 92.

All the exit polls have predicted a big majority for the BJP in Gujarat in the range of 117-151 seats, while the Congress was predicted to bag seats in the range of 16-51.

Vyas said, "We were confident from the beginning that the people of Gujarat are with us and the BJP will register a grand victory." "The people of Gujarat love our Prime Minister Narendra Modi for all the work he has done for Gujarat and India. The exit poll figures reflect that love for our PM. Our workers on the ground also contributed to ensure that we win," he said. (PTI)

13:26 (IST)06 Dec 2022
Bommai confident of Gujarat like "pro incumbency mandate" for BJP in K'taka too

With exit polls favouring the BJP retaining power in Gujarat, Karnataka Chief Minister Basavaraj Bommai on Tuesday exuded confidence that the "pro-incumbency mandate" is likely in this poll-bound southern state. He asserted that the saffron party will "cent percent" form the government in Karnataka once again, after the 2023 polls.

"People today support good governance and developmental works. It is very clear that there is no support for false and politically motivated allegations. In both states (Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh) our party will be victorious. The whole country is supporting Prime Minister Narendra Modi's leadership," Bommai said in response to a question.

Speaking to reporters in Bengaluru, he said this is not the first time there will be a pro incumbency mandate in Gujarat, as BJP will be winning there for the seventh time. "This clearly shows that the people have strong faith in the BJP's governance, its leaders, and Narendra Modi's leadership," he added. (PTI)

13:25 (IST)06 Dec 2022
Nitish ducks queries on exit polls predicting BJP win in Gujarat, Himachal

Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar on Tuesday ducked queries about exit polls predicting wins, in Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh assembly polls, for his former ally BJP which he has vowed to defeat with the help of a united opposition in the next general elections.

Most exit polls have predicted a huge victory for the BJP in Gujarat, the home turf of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Union Home Minister Amit Shah, while the party has been shown to have a slight edge over the Congress in Himachal Pradesh.

“Janata Malik hai” (the people are our master), said Kumar, trying to ward off the queries of journalists.

When pressed further, he quipped “do I ever say anything in such matters” even as he insisted that all should wait for the final results to be announced on Thursday. (PTI)

13:14 (IST)06 Dec 2022
‘We are positive,’ says Arvind Kejriwal despite exit polls predicting AAP rout in Gujarat

Undeterred by Monday’s exit poll results which predicted the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) would only manage to secure seats in the single digits in Gujarat, the party’s national convenor Arvind Kejriwal Tuesday said he was feeling “positive”. All exit polls predicted the BJP would return to power in the state with a huge margin.

Kejriwal said even a 10-20 per cent vote share for the AAP, which is contesting in the state for the first time, would be big for the party.   “We are positive. A new party has entered to contest the elections in a place which is said to be the BJP’s ground. Even 10-20 per cent voteshare will be big for AAP. Let’s wait for the final results,” said at an event in the Vidhan Sabha honouring Dr Baba Saheb Ambedkar on his Mahaparivan Diwas. Read more

11:14 (IST)06 Dec 2022
People have voted in MCD polls for good work done by party: AAP over exit poll results

After three exit polls on Monday predicted a clear win for the AAP in the Municipal Corporation of Delhi (MCD) polls, the party said that the people have voted for the good work done by it while the BJP said it will do much better than the survey predictions.

Three exit polls on Monday predicted an end to the BJP's 15-year rule at the civic body. All the exit polls gave Congress less than 10 seats. The results of the polls to 250 wards of MCD will be declared after counting of votes on December 7.

AAP chief spokesperson Saurabh Bhardwaj said, "We think exit polls have always underestimated AAP voters because they are too shareef (gentlemen) to voice out their opinion due to goondaism of BJP workers." "The party will cross 200 seats in MCD elections.

Even exit polls are showing that AAP voters are voting based on the development work of Arvind Kejriwal government in the national capital. While BJP voters have only voted because of party loyalty. We think this tells a lot," he added. (PTI)

11:12 (IST)06 Dec 2022
ICYMI | Express reporters dissect Gujarat elections

09:07 (IST)06 Dec 2022
Exit polls predict big majority for BJP in Gujarat, cliffhanger in Himachal Pradesh

Exit polls have predicted a big majority for the BJP in Gujarat and a dead heat in Himachal Pradesh where most pollsters gave an edge to the ruling party over the Congress.

All exit polls predicted a big mandate for the BJP in Gujarat in the range of 117-151 seats in the 182-member assembly, while the Congress was predicted to bag seats in the range of 16-51. The Aam Aadmi Party was projected to bag anything between two and 13 seats. The majority mark in Gujarat is 92.

In Himachal Pradesh, the exit polls projected a range of 24-41 seats for the BJP and 20-40 seats for the Congress. The majority mark is 35 seats. 

While the Aaj Tak-Axis My India predicted 129-151 seats for the BJP , 16-30 seats for the Congress and 9-21 seats for the Aam Aadmi Party in Gujarat, ABP News C-Voter predicted 128-140 seats for the BJP, 31-43 for the Congress and 3-11 for AAP. (PTI)

07:53 (IST)06 Dec 2022
Exit Poll: How close were predictions about Gujarat, Himachal results in 2017?

Soon after voting concluded in the Gujarat Assembly elections at 5.30 pm on Monday, exit polls are expected to be out to give people an idea of how results day on December 8 will shape up.

Five years ago, in 2017, the exit polls successfully predicted that the BJP would comfortably hold on to power in Gujarat despite a Congress surge and return to power in Himachal Pradesh.

Let's take a look at the exit polls from 2017.

More from Elections
07:50 (IST)06 Dec 2022
Explained: What are exit polls, and what rules govern them in India

As voting for Gujarat elections ends today, exit polls will be out by the evening. In India, results of exit polls for a particular election are not allowed to be published till the last vote has been cast.

While exit polls generate a lot of curiosity and sometimes predict election results most accurately, what exactly are exit polls? How are they conducted?What are the rules governing them? What factors make for a good exit poll? We explain

07:37 (IST)06 Dec 2022
MCD polls: Upscale areas in South Delhi saw low turnout, rural areas highest

Upscale neighbourhoods of South Delhi saw the lowest voter turnout in Sunday’s municipal polls, while rural pockets and parts of Northeast Delhi saw the highest polling percentages, data shared by the Delhi State Election Commission shows. The city reported a turnout of around 50%, lower than that in 2017 and 2012 (around 54%).

The lowest voter turnout was seen in Andrews Ganj ward, where only 33.74% of the eligible voters came out to vote. This was followed by the Hauz Khas ward, where only 38.72% turned up.

Areas such as Green Park, Greater Kailash, Munirka, Lado Sarai and Dwarka also saw a turnout of less than 40%. Turnouts in areas such as Greater Kailash, Vasant Vihar and Hauz Khas have remained below the 50% mark in both 2012 and 2017 municipal polls. Read full report by Mallica Joshi and Gayathri Mani here

07:32 (IST)06 Dec 2022
What the numbers say: BJP headed for a massive win in Gujarat

07:29 (IST)06 Dec 2022
Delhi MCD Exit polls: AAP set to sweep clean with BJP at distant second

Exit polls released ahead of the Municipal Corporation of Delhi poll results on Wednesday showed a clean sweep by the Aam Aadmi Party, with Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) coming in a distant second.

The India Today —Axis My India exit poll showed AAP winning 149 to 171 seats out of 250. BJP, it said, is expected to get 69 to 91 seats and the Congress coming third with 3 to 7 seats.

Other parties and independents are expected to get 5 to 9 seats. Any party that gets 126 seats will get a majority and gain power of the civic body.

The Times Now ETG poll, meanwhile, showed AAP getting 146 to 156 seats, the BJP 84 to 94 and Congress 6 to 10 seats. Others are expected to get 0 to 4 seats. Read more


Delhi Chief Minister and AAP Convener Arvind Kejriwal and his family members show their fingers marked with indelible ink after casting their votes for the Municipal Corporation of Delhi elections, at a polling station in Civil Lines area, in New Delhi, Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022. (PTI Photo)
07:26 (IST)06 Dec 2022
Exit polls give BJP huge majority in Gujarat; Himachal is neck and neck

The BJP is headed for a massive win in Gujarat, where it has been in power for nearly two-and-a-half decades, and is marginally ahead of the Congress in Himachal Pradesh, according to exit polls broadcast by television networks after the final phase of voting in Gujarat Monday. Counting of votes will take place on December 8.

Barring one, all pollsters have given the BJP a slender edge in Himachal Pradesh which has a tradition of voting out the incumbent. Most exit polls, however, predicted that the maximum the BJP could get in the hill state is 40, just six seats more than the half-way mark of 34 in the 68-member House. The India Today-Axis My India poll predicted that the Congress could be ahead, winning 30-40 seats and the BJP 24-34. Read full Political Pulse here


Prime Minister Narendra Modi during an election campaign for the Gujarat Assembly elections, in Ahmedabad, Thursday, Dec. 1, 2022. (PTI Photo)
07:23 (IST)06 Dec 2022
Gujarat Exit Polls: BJP firm favourite, but AAP gains may herald momentous shift

Going by the exit polls, the BJP is set to be back in the saddle in Gujarat, ostensibly riding on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity, even as the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) seems set to make inroads that may be historic for the party and Gujarat’s electoral politics as a third front that has not had roots in the state’s politics till now.

So far, the Arvind Kejriwal-led party has wrested Delhi and Punjab from the Congress. If the exit polls are to be believed, and the AAP gets seats even in single digits, it will mean the party making its first dent in a BJP bastion. And then the fears of the BJP, which tried to stonewall its rise in Gujarat, will become real. Read more

Supporters wait to get a glimpse of Prime Minister Narendra Modi outside polling booth at Ranip on Monday during Gujarat state elections 2022. (Express photo by Nirmal Harindran)
19:32 (IST)05 Dec 2022
BJP will form the govt with record number of seats in Gujarat: State BJP Chief CR Patil

After the release of Exit Poll data for Gujarat Assembly election, state BJP Chief CR Patil on Monday said, that the party will form government with a record number of seats in Gujarat.

19:27 (IST)05 Dec 2022
BJP's analysis shows party comfortably winning Himachal Assembly polls: CM Jairam Thakur

Himachal Pradesh Chief Minister Jairam Thakur on Monday after the release of Exit Polls for the state Assembly polls said that according to the BJP's analysis, the party will comfortably form a government again.

In a statement he said, "Many of the exit polls are showing BJP forming govt while some show a neck-to-neck fight on a few seats. We should wait till Dec 8. According to our analysis there's complete possibility of BJP comfortably forming the govt."

19:24 (IST)05 Dec 2022
Himachal Pradesh | BARC exit poll predicts BJP win in Himachal

The exit poll conducted by BARC has predicted that the BJP will win in Himachal Pradesh. Here is a breakdown of the results:

BJP: 35-40
INC: 20-25
AAP: 0-3
Oth: 1-5

19:20 (IST)05 Dec 2022
Himachal Pradesh | NewsX exit poll: BJP expected to lead with 32-40 seats

The NewsX exit poll has also predicted that the BJP will return for an unprecedented second term in Himachal Pradesh. It expects BJP to win between 32-40 seats, while the Congress is likely to get 27-34. This poll, too, has placed the AAP at 0 seats. 

19:18 (IST)05 Dec 2022
Himachal Pradesh | ETG exit poll: BJP predicted to win, Congress trails behind

The ETG exit poll has predicted that the BJP will win 38 seats in the Himachal Pradesh Assembly election, while the Congress will trail behind with 28. The AAP is expected to win no seats. 

19:12 (IST)05 Dec 2022
P-Marq's exit poll predicts BJP's victory in Gujarat with 128 to 148 seats

P-Marq's exit poll on Monday predicted BJP's victory in Gujarat Assembly elections with 128 to 148 seats. The Congress is expected to win 30 to 42 seats while AAP is predicted to win 2 to 10 seats. 

A look at 2017 exit polls for Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh:

Gujarat

In 2017, the exit polls had predicted a BJP win, with the party bagging over 110 seats in the 182-member Assembly, according to an aggregate of predictions.

Times Now had predicted BJP to win 109 seats, while Congress would get only 70. However, ABP had predicted a tight race in the western state with exit polls predicting 78-86 seats for the Congress and 91-99 for the BJP. Chanakya gave BJP 135 seats and predicted 47 for the Congress. The exit poll had also predicted a vote share of 49 per cent for the BJP and 38 per cent for the Congress party.

Also Read: Hardik, Alpesh, Jignesh: Young guns caught in keen ‘battles of prestige’ in Gujarat polls

The CVoter Exit Poll gave the BJP 111 seats and the Congress 71.

A survey by India Today-Axis had also predicted that the BJP would retain power in the state, winning 106 seats. It had projected 75 seats for the Congress.

The India TV-VMR survey had also forecast a BJP win, with the party likely to clinch anywhere between 108 and 118 seats. The Congress, it had said, would win 61 to 71 seats. The survey said the BJP could garner 48 per cent of the votes polled, the Congress 41 and others 11 per cent.

The BJP, however, had managed to bag 99 seats, thereby retaining power in the state yet again. The Congress had managed to win 77 seats, the highest for the party since 1985 when it had won 149 seats.

  • The Indian Express website has been rated GREEN for its credibility and trustworthiness by Newsguard, a global service that rates news sources for their journalistic standards.
First published on: 05-12-2022 at 14:09 IST
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