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Monday, November 23, 2020

Bihar Elections Exit Poll 2020 Highlights: RJD-led alliance set to sweep Bihar polls, predicts India Today-Axis exit poll

Bihar Election Exit Poll: The actual results will be declared on November 10.

By: Express Web Desk | New Delhi | Updated: November 10, 2020 7:34:47 am
bihar election, politics news, pm modi, pm modi rally, rahul gandhi rally, pm modi rally in bihar, rahul gandhi rally in bihar, pm modi rally in bihar today, pm narendra modi, rahul gandhi news, latest politics news, politics today news, india news, bihar politics news, bihar assembly election, bihar assembly election 2020, bihar assembly election 2020 news, bihar election news, bihar election 2020, bihar assembly election 2020The results for the 2020 Bihar Assembly elections will be declared on November 10.

The RJD-led Mahagathbandhan is headed for a clean win at the Bihar Assembly elections 2020, at least two exit polls– India Today Axis Poll and CNN News 18-Today’s Chanakya–have predicted. It could also be a tight race between the NDA and the Opposition alliance with the latter having an edge in Bihar. Some exit polls are also indicating a hung house. While none of the polls give LJP significant numbers, in case of a hung Assembly, Chirag Paswan could become crucial for either alliance to come to power.

Bihar Election Results 2020 LIVE Updates: Will Tejashwi’s RJD rout Nitish govt?

While the India Today Axis Poll has projected as many as 161 seats for the Opposition, much more than the NDA tally of 91 seats, CNN News 18-Today’s Chanakya has predicted 55 seats for the NDA and 180 for the Mahagathbandhan.

Other exit polls have projected a close contest, with the Grand alliance having an edge. According to Times Now-CVoter exit poll, the BJP-led NDA, in which JD(U) is in alliance, is expected to get 116 seats while the Grand Alliance is projected to get 120. The Republic TV-Jan ki Baat exit poll, on the other hand, has projected a greater lead for the Mahagathbandhan, which is expected to win as many as 138 seats.

The third phase voting for the 243-member Bihar Assembly concluded at 6 pm. The majority mark is 122.

The first phase of voting took place on October 28 and the second phase on November 3. The results will be declared on November 10. An election exit poll is a poll of voters taken soon after a voter walks out after casting his or her vote. It is considered as an indicator to which party forms the government.

The Bihar election is being seen as a referendum on three-time Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, whose JD(U) is in alliance with the BJP-led NDA. In the 2015 election, the JD(U) was part of the Mahagathbandhan. The ruling NDA alliance faces a stiff challenge from the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance). Meanwhile, Chirag Paswan’s LJP has decided to go alone in the elections, fighting against the JD(U). However, it has been consistent on continuing to be part of the BJP-led NDA at the Centre.

Live Blog

The Bihar elections exit polls are out. Follow LIVE updates here

21:51 (IST)07 Nov 2020
Bihar has voted for change: Congress

With the exit polls for Bihar out, the Congress on Saturday said Bihar has voted for change. Congress chief spokesperson Randeep Surjewala said exit polls are interesting as they provided employment to some people who use small samples, but people speak up at the end.

"We are confident that Bihar has voted for a change and Bihar will vote for the change," he told reporters. "People have spoken in the first two phases; the third phase polling is going on. We are more than confident that Bihar has voted for change," he had earlier said.

Bihar wants a government that gives employment, gives MSP to farmers, ensures new industries come and ensures that education and health, which are on the backburner become the centrepoint of governance and that's why Bihar is voting for change, he said.(PTI)

21:02 (IST)07 Nov 2020
India Today Axis Poll predicts clear win for Mahagathbandhan

The India Today Axis Poll has predicted a clear win for the Mahagathbandhan, much ahead of the NDA tally of 91 seats at most.

NDA: 69-91

MGB: 139-161

LJP: 3-5

Others: 3-5

20:22 (IST)07 Nov 2020
News X-dvresearch predicts tight race

News X-dvresearch has predicted a close contest between the NDA and the Mahagathbandhan

NDA: 110-117

MGB: 108-123

LJP: 4-10

Others: 8-23

20:18 (IST)07 Nov 2020
CNN News 18-Todays Chanakya predicts clean sweep for Mahagathbandhan

CNN News 18-Todays Chanakya has predicted a clean win for the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan. The exit poll has predicted 180 seats for the Oppn alliance, much higher than the majority mark of 122, and only 55 seats for the ruling NDA. 

NDA: 55

MGB: 180

LJP: 0

Others: 8

20:06 (IST)07 Nov 2020
Dainik Bhaskar predicts NDA win

The Dainik Bhaskar exit poll is the only one so far to project a clean NDA win at the Bihar election

NDA: 120-127

MGB: 71-81

LJP: 12-23

Others: 19-27

19:38 (IST)07 Nov 2020
India Today Axis Poll: Youth vote for Mahagathbandhan

India Today Axis Poll predict: 47% young voters (18-25 years) said they voted for the Mahagathbandhan, while 34% said they voted for the NDA. The pattern changes among those older than 50 years, with 45% of the voters saying they voted for the NDA, and 40% voting for the Mahagathbandhan.

19:20 (IST)07 Nov 2020
What voters want: Exit polls predict tight race; Mahagathbandhan in lead

Exit polls released so far have predicted a tight race between the BJP-led NDA and the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan

19:10 (IST)07 Nov 2020
44% voters want Tejashwi as next CM: India TV Axis Poll

The India TV Axis Poll has projected that 31-year-old Tejashwi Yadav of the RJD is the most preferred candidate for Bihar's next Chief Minister. Here's how others are placed. 

Tejashwi Yadav (RJD): 44%

Nitish Kumar (JD(U): 35%

Chirag Paswan (LJP): 7%

19:01 (IST)07 Nov 2020
Also check: India TV Axis poll on Gujarat bypolls

India TV Axis exit polls have projected a clear BJP lead in the Gujarat bypolls.

BJP: 6-7

Congress: 1-2

18:56 (IST)07 Nov 2020
Mahagathbandhan leads according to TV9 Bharatvarsh exit polls

The Opposition Grand alliance is projected to lead in the Bihar Assembly elections, according to the TV9 Bharatvarsh exit polls

NDA: 110-120


MGB-115-125


Others-13-18

18:46 (IST)07 Nov 2020
Advantage RJD: Republic TV-Jan ki Baat exit polls

Republic TV-Jan ki Baat predicts a tight race, with the Mahagathbandhan leading 

NDA: 91-117

MGB-118-138

LJP-5-8

Others-3-6

18:44 (IST)07 Nov 2020
India TV predicts close fight between NDA, Mahagathbandhan

India TV exit polls:

NDA: 112
(BJP: 70; JD(U): 42)

Oppn Grand alliance: 110
(RJD: 85; Congress: 25)

18:40 (IST)07 Nov 2020
Times Now- CVoter prediction: Grand alliance leads in 120 seats

Times Now-CVoter prediction for Bihar elections

NDA--116
MGB--120
LJP--1
Others--6

18:38 (IST)07 Nov 2020
Meanwhile, here's what exit polls predict for MP bypolls

According to the India Today Axis poll,  BJP is likely to bag 16-18 seats in the Madhya Pradesh bypolls, ahead of Congress (10-12), and BSP (0-1).

18:31 (IST)07 Nov 2020
55.22% voter turnout in third phase of elections: EC

55.22% voter turnout recorded till 5 pm in the third and last phase of Bihar assembly elections: Election Commission of India

18:22 (IST)07 Nov 2020
AIMIM, VIP fates at stake today; so are Mahagathbandhan hopes

Hoping to return to power in Bihar, the NDA is facing its toughest contest in 78 constituencies that voted on Saturday, including Seemanchal (Kishanganj, Araria, Katihar and Purnea), Kosi (Supaul, Saharsa and Madhepura), Mithila (Darbhanga and Madhuvani), and Tirhut (Muzaffarpur and Sitamarhi) regions of the state.

While the RJD-led Grand Alliance has a clear advantage in the Seemanchal belt, Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM, which is contesting 16 of its 20 seats in this phase, may cut into its vote base and even register wins.

18:14 (IST)07 Nov 2020
Bihar elections: What's at stake?

The first elections held in the shadow of the Covid-19 pandemic, the Bihar Assembly election is being seen as a referendum on three-time Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, whose JD(U) in alliance with the BJP-led NDA. In the 2015 election, the JD(U) was part of the Mahagathbandhan. The ruling NDA alliance faces a stiff challenge from the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance). Meanwhile, Chirag Paswan’s LJP has decided to go alone in the elections, fighting against the JD(U). However, it has been consistent on continuing to be part of the BJP-led NDA at the Centre.

18:10 (IST)07 Nov 2020
Battle for Bihar over; exit polls soon

The third phase polling for the 243-member Bihar Assembly ended at 6 pm. All eyes will be now on the exit polls. Findings of various exit poll surveys for the first major election in the country amid the pandemic will start trickling in after 6.30 pm. Stay tuned! 

Bihar election, Bihar elections, Bihar assembly polls, Bihar migrants, Motipur Sugar Mill, Motipur voters, Bihar migrants votes bihar elections, Nitish kumar Bihar election, Bihar election news, Bihar election coronavirus, bihar news, indian express RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav and Bihar CM Nitish Kumar. (Source: PTI/File)

Despite the pandemic, Bihar saw a considerable voter turnout with Phase 1 recording 54% votes –– marginally lower than 54.75 per cent for the same 71 seats in 2015 elections. Similarly, Phase 2 witnessed 55.7% voter turnout as compared to 56.17% recorded last time.

With 7.3 crore voters, the Legislative Assembly election in Bihar this time was shortest Assembly election in 15 years. Polling were held in just three phases, as opposed to five in 2015 and four in 2005. In a state that has always been watched for what its social and political undercurrent signify, Election 2020 is being keenly watched. It is India’s first mass polls in the shadow of the pandemic, and Bihar’s first in a long, long time without either Lalu Prasad or the just deceased Ram Vilas Paswan present. Nitish Kumar, meanwhile, has conceded much ground in his alliance with Narendra Modi’s BJP.

The results will be a signal not just for Modi, NDA’s star campaigner — whatever the noises made about Nitish — but also the Opposition. The result will be seen as a reflection on Modi government’s handling of the pandemic and management of the economy.

Plus, it could be a factor in West Bengal, a state the BJP has set its eyes on and which votes next, in April-May 2021.