The RJD-led Mahagathbandhan is headed for a clean win at the Bihar Assembly elections 2020, at least two exit polls– India Today Axis Poll and CNN News 18-Today’s Chanakya–have predicted. It could also be a tight race between the NDA and the Opposition alliance with the latter having an edge in Bihar. Some exit polls are also indicating a hung house. While none of the polls give LJP significant numbers, in case of a hung Assembly, Chirag Paswan could become crucial for either alliance to come to power.
While the India Today Axis Poll has projected as many as 161 seats for the Opposition, much more than the NDA tally of 91 seats, CNN News 18-Today’s Chanakya has predicted 55 seats for the NDA and 180 for the Mahagathbandhan.
Other exit polls have projected a close contest, with the Grand alliance having an edge. According to Times Now-CVoter exit poll, the BJP-led NDA, in which JD(U) is in alliance, is expected to get 116 seats while the Grand Alliance is projected to get 120. The Republic TV-Jan ki Baat exit poll, on the other hand, has projected a greater lead for the Mahagathbandhan, which is expected to win as many as 138 seats.
The third phase voting for the 243-member Bihar Assembly concluded at 6 pm. The majority mark is 122.
The first phase of voting took place on October 28 and the second phase on November 3. The results will be declared on November 10. An election exit poll is a poll of voters taken soon after a voter walks out after casting his or her vote. It is considered as an indicator to which party forms the government.
The Bihar election is being seen as a referendum on three-time Chief Minister Nitish Kumar, whose JD(U) is in alliance with the BJP-led NDA. In the 2015 election, the JD(U) was part of the Mahagathbandhan. The ruling NDA alliance faces a stiff challenge from the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan (Grand Alliance). Meanwhile, Chirag Paswan’s LJP has decided to go alone in the elections, fighting against the JD(U). However, it has been consistent on continuing to be part of the BJP-led NDA at the Centre.