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If you switched on news channels yesterday night or checked the papers this morning, there’s only one thing everyone is talking about- exit polls. But over many years, exit polls have been unreliable. Our episode today dissects- why election surveys in general can paint a very different picture than actual results, why exit polls in particular should not be blindly trusted and if there are patterns in the 2019 election exit polls that we should keep an eye out for. Radha Vasudevan, a social scientist who worked with the Centre for the Study of Developing Societies and administered surveys during the 2001 and 2004 elections, discusses the problem with election surveys. Then, Indian Express Bureau chief Ravish Tiwari explains why exit polls may be unreliable but points at some interesting trends that may pan out.
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