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Wednesday, June 23, 2021

Peru on knife-edge as battle builds over election count with socialists ahead

Castillo, the son of illiterate farmers who has rattled the Andean nation's political elite and garnered huge support from the rural poor, had 50.2% with virtually all votes processed, just a 0.4 percentage point ahead of right-wing Keiko Fujimori, or 74,000 votes.

By: Reuters | Peru |
Updated: June 10, 2021 10:04:59 am
Pedro CastilloPresidential candidate Pedro Castillo has an edge over the rightists. (AP)

Peruvian socialist Pedro Castillo held a wafer-thin lead in a polarized presidential election on Wednesday, as rival Keiko Fujimori doubled down on unproven allegations of voter fraud, which could spark weeks of political wrangling.

Castillo, the son of illiterate farmers who has rattled the Andean nation’s political elite and garnered huge support from the rural poor, had 50.2% with virtually all votes processed, just a 0.4 percentage point ahead of right-wing Keiko Fujimori, or 74,000 votes.

Fujimori, the heir of a powerful political family, however, on Wednesday night alleged that about 500,000 votes were suspicious, although she provided little in way of proof.

She questioned the likeliness of voting tables grouping up to 300 voters in which she got not votes at all.

“We think it is crucial that these (allegations) be analyzed in the final count,” Fujimori said, who added that she was not saying that electoral authorities were complicit in any wrongdoing.

The leftist’s party has strongly denied the claims and electoral observers say the vote was carried out cleanly.

The allegations, with some echoes of the legal wrangling after the U.S. election last year, may trigger weeks of confusion and tension, amid a polarized election cycle that has divided Peruvians, with higher-income citizens supporting the right-wing candidate and lower-income ones supporting Castillo.

“The people are tired, if they continue to trample over our rights that our president has already won, we are going to get into a social struggle,” said Justiniano Ilario, a teacher supporting Castillo while on a protest march.

“Enough is enough, the people from the provinces, we are tired of this outrage of corruption that exists everywhere.”

Luis Cano, wearing a “Keiko” cap in a rival street protest, said the Castillo supporters were using tactics other authoritarian leftists in the region had done before to win the vote.

Hundreds of voters on both sides have taken to the streets to protest for their candidate, mostly peacefully and even at times with musicians and dancers.

Castillo has made calls on supporters to “defend the vote”.

There are also some 300,000 contested votes, which will need to be further scrutinized by an electoral jury, a process that will take several days to complete and could tip the balance.

The world’s no. 2 copper producer saw three presidents in a week last year amid political scandals and protests, has been hit by the world’s deadliest COVID-19 outbreak and posted its worst economic plunge in three decades last year.

‘TIGHTEST ELECTIONS’ Fujimori had closed the gap slightly overnight as almost all the overseas votes that favor the conservative candidate came in, though not by enough to rein in Castillo’s lead as she had hoped, leaving disputed votes as her last potential reprieve.

“It’s unlikely that at this point that Fujimori will overtake Castillo,” said David Sulmont, a sociology professor at Peru’s Pontifical Catholic University and former head of their polling unit.

“It is one of the country’s tightest elections,” he added.

“The margin may keep varying, but I think Castillo will be the winner.”

On Wednesday, a key economic adviser to Castillo told Reuters that the leftist would maintain a “market economy” if named president and there would not be massive state interventions in the economy.

The aide added though that mining taxes would be raised to pay for planned educational and healthcare reforms, though recognized the sector must retain competitive.

Peru’s sol currency, gained around 2% on Wednesday, though stocks were down more than 3% with mining sector shares among the worst hit.

‘COMPANION IN STRUGGLE’ A win for Castillo, a teacher who was the surprise victor in the first-round vote in April, would mark a major advance for Latin America’s left amid rising discontent over poverty and inequality that has been sharpened by the COVID-19 pandemic.

On Tuesday evening, Castillo came close to claiming victory.

“We already have the official party tally, where the people have won this fight,” he told supporters, referring to an unofficial vote count conducted by his party, Free Peru.

Bolivia’s former President Evo Morales, an iconic leftist whose socialist party is now in power in that country, also congratulated Castillo on his “victory” in a post on Twitter, calling him a “brother of the soul and companion in struggle”.

Fujimori is on her third attempt to become president, having been the runner-up in the last two cycles. In 2016, she lost by a margin of 0.24 of a percentage point.

Castillo has spooked markets with proposals to redistribute mining wealth, redraft the constitution and raise taxes on mining firms, a key source of revenue for the Andean country, though he has looked to moderate his tone in recent days.

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