This is an archive article published on May 31, 2014
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National Interest: Talk less

That’s what Modi should tell his ministers before they shoot their mouths off and damage his hard earned political capital.

Written by: Shekhar Gupta
8 min readMay 31, 2014 05:58 AM IST First published on: May 31, 2014 at 05:12 AM IST
Modi, in fact, has to go a step further. His challenge is to change the mindset of a chronic opposition to the establishment. (Source: Express photo) Modi, in fact, has to go a step further. His challenge is to change the mindset of a chronic opposition to the establishment. (Source: Express photo)

At a public event for the release of my new book, Anticipating India, in Mumbai on May 6, I was asked if, now that I had anticipated the rise of Narendra Modi accurately, could I also list the five meteorites that could impede his government. I wasn’t able to name  five right away. But I mentioned a couple, not knowing they were already lurking around the corner. Frankly, I have also been in the business far too long to not be conscious of the perils of falling in love with the “anticipating” business just because you got a few things right. The beauty of Indian politics, after all, is that it has its set, predictable patterns by now, but it can also make you look stupid.

The first two meteorites were easier to foresee because they conformed to a set pattern. I had said the first distraction (I choose that word carefully —  distraction, not  danger) Modi will have to deal with will be the fact that the ideological empire of Nagpur will compulsively strike back. Not merely in terms of the embarrassing but frivolous glory of cow’s urine/ dung, desi ghee, Vedic research type of thing, but even substantive issues. The second, that it is one thing to have a mass leader win you power in a presidential-style election. But the personality cult it unleashes will be difficult to shake off. And sycophancy is not the monopoly of one political party or coalition. Both of these have confronted Modi in his very first week as prime minister and are testing both his statesmanship and patience. After winning such a clear, affirmative verdict, the last thing he needs is to fritter away his freshly earned political capital with needless and irrelevant controversy.

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