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Budget 2026: Avoiding populism, betting on reliance and tax certainty

It focuses on higher capital expenditure, structural reforms, and long-term development priorities through a measured and forward-looking policy framework that prioritises stability, growth, and a predictable tax environment

Union budget,Union Minister for Finance Nirmala Sitharaman poses with her team for a photo op before leaving to present the Budget in New Delhi on Sunday. (Express Photo by Tashi Tobgyal)
5 min readFeb 4, 2026 06:09 PM IST First published on: Feb 4, 2026 at 06:09 PM IST

Written by Sunil Badala

The Finance Minister tabled her ninth consecutive Union Budget 2026 on February 1 and reinforced the government’s commitment to fiscal prudence, stability, and long-term growth in pursuit of the vision of Viksit Bharat. From an economy perspective, 10.4 per cent nominal GDP growth is projected for FY 2026-27, supported by a continued push to expand the manufacturing sector while reaffirming the critical role of the service industry. In a dynamic global environment, the government is striving to strike the right balance – strengthening strategic partnerships (including the recent EU and US trade deals) while shifting from an “import-substitution” mindset to one of strategic resilience and indispensability.

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