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Wednesday, July 18, 2018

US Q1 growth cut to 1.8% in cautionary note on economy

Reading slashed: Development comes as US Fed ponders curtailing stimulus

Written by Reuters | Washington | Published: June 27, 2013 3:22:59 am

The US government slashed its estimate for first-quarter economic growth on Wednesday,offering a cautionary note on the recovery as the Federal Reserve ponders curtailing its monetary stimulus.

Gross domestic product expanded at a 1.8 per cent annual rate in the quarter,the Commerce Department said in its final estimate. The economy was previously reported to have grown at a 2.4 per cent pace after a near stall-speed advance of 0.4 per cent in the final three months of last year.

Details of the report showed downward revisions to almost all growth categories,with the exception of home construction and government. The biggest surprise came in consumer spending,which grew at a 2.6 per cent pace,not the 3.4 per cent rate previously estimated.

Economists cautioned against reading too much into the data given its backward-looking nature.

“We ended the quarter and started the year much weaker than previously thought,” said Millan Mulraine,senior economist at TD Securities in New York.

“That said we still have a fairly constructive outlook. If you look at the confidence numbers,that suggests that we might be in for a fairly decent rebound in spending activity,maybe not this quarter but certainly in the months ahead.”

Economists polled by Reuters had expected first-quarter GDP growth would be left unrevised at 2.4 per cent. When measured from the income side,the economy grew at a 2.5 per cent rate,slower than the fourth-quarter’s brisk 5.5 per cent pace.

The downward revision to consumer spending,which accounts for more than two-thirds of US economic activity,largely reflected weak outlays on health care services.

Despite the downward revision,the pace of consumer spending picked up from the fourth quarter even as households faced higher taxes.

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