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Jagan out,alarm in rival camps

YSRCP said the CBI court direction to Jagan to not leave Hyderabad could be a blessing in disguise.

Written by Sreenivas Janyala | Hyderabad |
September 26, 2013 1:55:39 am

The release of Y S Jagan Mohan Reddy has raised concern in all other parties in Andhra Pradesh (AP).

The Congress has more or less given up hope in 13 districts — nine of coastal Andhra and four of Rayalaseema — after agreeing to the formation of a Telangana state. Its game plan to tie up with the TRS and sweep Telangana is also in jeopardy.

The Telugu Desam Party (TDP),which was hoping to grab the anti-Congress vote and breach the YSR Congress Party (YSRCP) fortress in the absence of Jagan in the field,appears jittery now.

Political observers say the TDP had performed well in the July panchayat polls largely due to the absence of Jagan.

If YSRCP contests 20 Assembly seats in and around Hyderabad — home to a large Seemandhra population — it could upset the Telangana-sentiment calculation of the Congress and the TRS.

“He has come out at the right time. His presence will boost the massive anti-bifurcation agitation in Seemandhra. Jagan will provide leadership and direction to the agitation and take it to the national stage. The party has taken a strong anti-bifurcation stand and Jagan is the only leader in Seemandhra,’’ YSRCP leader Ambati Rambabu said.

Wednesday morning,hardly 12 hours after his release,Jagan had a glass of juice and rushed to meet visiting party MLAs. They discussed the political situation in the state and the YSRCP organisation and structure and its role in the anti-bifurcation agitation. Political commentator Telakapalli Ravi said N Chandrababu Naidu was not so comfortable openly supporting the anti-bifurcation agitation and as such,Jagan was well-placed to take over its leadership.

“The last bypolls were held when Jagan was in jail and still YSRCP won. Out of jail,he is an even bigger threat to the TDP. The Telangana issue has consolidated the position of Jagan in Seemandhra,’’ he said.

Observers said the TDP had already yielded a lot of ground to YSRCP.

“Dalits,Christians and converted Christians are the main voter base of the YSRCP. By hobnobbing with the BJP,Naidu stands to lose these votes,” Ravi said.

As soon as the Congress hinted a Telangana state would be announced,YSRCP MLAs resigned in protest. The party took a strong pro-united AP stand. That and the anti-bifurcation agitation that has brought Seemandhra to a standstill create the possibility of the TDP losing ground to Jagan not only in coastal districts but also in its Rayalaseema bastions such as Anantapur and Kurnool.

Both the Congress and the TDP are expecting an exodus of leaders,MLAs and MPs in the coming months.

Jagan also poses a threat to Congress-TRS in Telangana,especially in Hyderabad and surrounding districts.

There are 19-20 Assembly constituencies in Hyderabad,Ranga Reddy,Medak and Mahbubnagar districts where the pro-AP sentiment runs high. “If Jagan campaigns in these areas,the constituencies are his for the taking. Most people who reside here want Hyderabad to remain as it is today,” Ravi said.

YSRCP leaders said the CBI court direction to Jagan to not leave Hyderabad could be a blessing in disguise.

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