Exit polls predicting a comfortable majority for the BJP alliance is sure to boost the party’s morale as it goes into the counting day.
While Today’s Chanakya has predicted that the alliance of BJP, AJSU and LJP will bag 61 out the 81 assembly seats, ABP News-Nielsen has given it 54 seats. The India Today Group-CICERO survey has predicted the BJP alliance to win 43-51 seats.
However, the exit polls have kept a high margin of error, mostly because there are up to 13 seats where the outcome remains uncertain, owing to factors like parties’ poor choice of candidates, influence of left-wing extremist groups and multi-cornered fights.
However, the BJP is hoping that two factors will smoothen its road to victory: the mass appeal of Prime Minister Narendra Modi, and the people’s wish to see a stable government.
If the BJP wins Pakur and Madhupur, it would indicate that the party won despite large number of Muslim voters in the segments.
The party’s performance in Dumka and Barhait, from where Chief Minister Hemant Soren is contesting, could set the trend for Santhal Pargana.
Equally significant will be the poll results in Bhawanathpur and Chhatarpur segments in Palamau region, where Janata parties have a traditional support base.