Covid-19: Active cases in India below 3 lakh for first time in six months, 55% in Kerala

Only five states — Kerala, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, and Mizoram — are currently reporting more than 1,000 cases every day.

Health workers collect swab samples from corporation employees for Covid-19 tests in Kozhikode. (PTI Photo)

While Kerala continues to contribute more than 15,000 Covid-19 cases daily, a steady slowdown in the rest of the country has brought the number of active cases below the 3-lakh mark for the first time in six months.

There has been a gradual decline in Kerala as well, with the daily count of cases below 20,000 for 10 days now. Over the last two weeks, active cases in the state have fallen from over 2 lakh to about 1.63 lakh.

Kerala still accounts for about 55 per cent of all active cases in the country, though.

However, the state that is causing the most concern right now is not Kerala, but Mizoram. The small Northeastern state has been reporting an unusually high number of cases for the past few weeks, consistently figuring in the top five contributors to fresh infections, alongside the much bigger states of Kerala and Maharashtra.

Over the past 20 days, Mizoram, a state of barely 12 lakh people, has discovered close to 24,000 cases. That means about 30 per cent of the state’s entire caseload of 88,000 since the beginning of the pandemic, has come in the last three weeks.

With close to 16,000 active cases, Mizoram has the fourth largest count in the country right now, after Kerala, Maharashtra, and Tamil Nadu.


Far from February situation

In mid-February, the daily case count had fallen below 15,000; now, Kerala alone is contributing the same number of cases daily and the daily count countrywide is at least 25,000. Also, deaths then were in double digits; now, over 250 are dying daily.

In most other parts of the country, the steady decline in the growth of cases has continued. Over 20 states and union territories are now reporting fewer than 100 new cases a day; about 10 of them have been finding fewer than 10 cases daily.

Only five states — Kerala, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, and Mizoram — are currently reporting more than 1,000 cases every day.

In three states — Bihar, Rajasthan, and Jharkhand — and three union territories — Andaman and Nicobar Islands, Dadra and Nagar Haveli and Daman and Diu, and Chandigarh — the active case count has fallen below 100.

After rising to 37.45 lakh at the peak of the second wave, India’s active case count has declined steadily since the middle of May, except for brief periods of sudden surges in Kerala. The rate of decline had, however, slowed considerably in the last few weeks. It took nearly 50 days for the active case count to come down from 4 lakh to 3 lakh.

Despite being at a six-month low, the current active case count is more than double the level it had fallen to before the start of the second wave in mid-February. Also, the fact that Kerala is still contributing over 15,000 cases a day, means India is still some distance away from the situation that prevailed in February.

At that time, the daily case count from the entire country had gone below 15,000. Currently, at least 25,000 cases are being recorded every day. On Sunday, 26,041 new cases were discovered across the country, of which 15,951 came from Kerala. Maharashtra contributed another 3,200 cases.

Also, the death count at that time had come down to double digits. As of now, more than 250 deaths are being recorded every day, nearly 60 per cent of which are coming from Kerala. But several states have been reporting zero Covid-19-related deaths now, many of them for days at a stretch.

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