Exclusive: On the table for Xi-Modi meet, a strategic economic dialogue

Chinese President’s first visit to India in 7 years amid efforts to restore ties.

Exclusive: On the table for Xi-Modi meet, a strategic economic dialogueIn October 2024, Xi and Prime Minister Narendra Modi met on the sidelines of the BRICS summit in the Russian city of Kazan. (File Photo)

Giving new impetus to efforts for restoration of ties between the two countries after a long, tense military standoff along the Line of Actual Control in eastern Ladakh, the Chinese Foreign Ministry announced Thursday that President Xi Jinping will be travelling to India to attend the BRICS summit in New Delhi on September 12-13.

Xi is likely to meet Prime Minister Narendra Modi over the weekend for a structured bilateral meeting – it will be their first meeting in India in seven years. Xi last visited India in October 2019 when he travelled to Mamallapuram near Chennai for the second informal bilateral summit of leaders.

Sources told The Indian Express that the two sides are working on launching a strategic economic dialogue, signalling a thaw in the relationship that has been plagued by high trade deficit, issues of market access to Chinese market, lack of investments in India, restrictions on visas to Indian and Chinese businesses and the activities of Chinese companies in India.

The two leaders are also expected to discuss and review the recent boundary talks in Beijing between their Special Representatives, NSA Ajit Doval and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, and endorse the decision to advance discussions on “an early and substantial harvest” of boundary delimitation and border management.

Among the eight outcomes and consensus reached at the Beijing talks were agreements on two new border military hotlines in the eastern and middle sectors, two new meeting points for military commander-level meetings, and the trans-border river meeting.

Xi’s participation in the BRICS summit is an important signal to India – he had skipped the G20 summit at the Bharat Mandapam in New Delhi three years ago amid strained ties between the two countries.

In October 2024, Xi and Modi met in Russia’s Kazan on the sidelines of the BRICS summit. Following their discussions, the two sides completed the process of disengagement of troops along the LAC in eastern Ladakh in November that year. Ever since, incremental steps have been taken to stabilise the ties. This has led to resumption of direct flights, easing of visa restrictions, revival of the Kailash Mansarovar pilgrimage and easing of curbs on Chinese investments.

But pressing issues remain, including visa denials and restrictions on Indian businesses, challenges in the sharing of trans-boundary river data, and the active collusion of China and Pakistan during the India-Pakistan hostilities that followed Operation Sindoor in May 2025.

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Delhi police personnel deploy ahead of the BRICS Summit 2026 near Bharat Mandapam in New Delhi. (ANI Photo/Naveen Sharma) Delhi police personnel deploy ahead of the BRICS Summit 2026 near Bharat Mandapam in New Delhi. (ANI Photo/Naveen Sharma)

The Indian side is expected to raise these concerns with the Chinese leadership. The issue of de-escalation on the LAC is also going to be part of the conversation. It is estimated that 50,000 troops are still deployed on either side of the LAC.

The Chinese, on the other hand, have concerns regarding the limiting of Chinese businesses, despite the lifting of restrictions, actions and investigations against Chinese firms operating out of India.

Xi will attend BRICS summit, hold bilateral talks with Modi An illuminated Rail Bhavan in New Delhi Thursday, ahead of the BRICS Summit. (Express photo by Gajendra Yadav)

The laundry list of concerns are expected to come up during the bilateral talks. But experts are cautioning against high expectations from the summit-level meeting.

Framing the challenge, Gautam Bambawale, former Ambassador of India to China, told The Indian Express, “What the PLA did with their actions in eastern Ladakh, and it has continued, set back the bilateral relationship by about 10 steps. And since 2024, when we started repairing the relationship, maybe we have moved three steps ahead. But the net is still negative, so there’s a lot of work to be done.”

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Xi last visited India in 2019 for an informal summit with Modi in Mamallapuram near Chennai. (ANI File Photo) Xi last visited India in 2019 for an informal summit with Modi in Mamallapuram near Chennai. (ANI File Photo)

While the bilateral talks between the two leaders will be significant, they will have shared concerns on energy security and the impact of the war in West Asia. This is expected to figure during the discussions, sources said, and will also be reflected in the BRICS discussions.

Both Xi and Modi have shared concerns on geopolitical issues arising from the conflict and the partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the challenges stemming from US President Donald Trump’s tariff wars.

Along with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Modi and Xi will be looking at exchanging notes on how to navigate the volatile and disruptive geoeconomics due to the Trump administration’s moves. Officials said while “there will be no ganging up against the West”, the gathering will be a powerful signal to the US that these countries have “options” in geopolitics.

Shubhajit Roy, Diplomatic Editor at The Indian Express, has been a journalist for more than 27 years now. Roy joined The Indian Express in October 2003 and has been reporting and writing explainers and analysis on foreign affairs for about 19 years now. Based in Delhi, he has also led the National government and political bureau at The Indian Express in Delhi — a team of reporters who cover the national government and politics for the newspaper. He has got the Ramnath Goenka Journalism award for Excellence in Journalism ‘2016. He got this award for his coverage of the Holey Bakery attack in Dhaka and its aftermath. He won the Ramnath Goenka Journalism award, 2023, for the second time for his reporting of the Oct 7 attacks on Israel and the war in Gaza. He also got the IIMCAA Award for the Journalist of the Year, 2022, (Jury’s special mention) for his coverage of the fall of Kabul in August 2021 — he was one of the few Indian journalists in Kabul and the only mainstream newspaper to have covered the Taliban’s capture of power in mid-August, 2021. ... Read More

 

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