Congress MP Gaurav Gogoi (Left) and Assam Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma (Right)Assam Election Exit Poll Result 2026 LIVE Updates: Surveys predicted a clean sweep for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in Assam, with incumbent Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma likely to continue in the post for his second consecutive term. Multiple exit poll predictions gave the BJP an easy majority in Assam, projecting over 80 seats for the party in the 126-seat state assembly. Meanwhile, the Congress party is likely to get around 25 to 35 seats in the state.
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Assam Exit Poll breakdown: Axis My India have an easy edge to the BJP in its exit poll predictions. The survey predicted 88-100 seats for the ruling BJP in the state, and 24-36 seats for Congress. Meanwhile, Matrize predicted 85 to 95 seats for the BJP, securing an easy majority, and 25 to 32 seats for the Congress party.
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The tenure of the current Assam legislative assembly is set to be over on May 20, 2026, which means that a new government will be formed before that. In the previous election, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance won 75 out of the total 126 seats.
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2021 exit polls for Assam: Exit polls were most accurate for Assam out of all other polling states in 2021, predicting the BJP’s return to power within a margin of a handful of seats. In 2021, the BJP and its allies had won 75 seats, with the Congress and its allies at 50 seats, and 1 seat going to an Independent. The majority mark in the 126-member Assam Assembly is 64 seats.
In 2021, the BJP and its allies had won 75 seats, with the Congress and its allies at 50 seats, and 1 seat going to an Independent. The majority mark in the 126-member Assam Assembly is 64 seats.
P-MARQ exit poll predictions
BJP - 82 to 94 seats
Congress - 30 to 40 seats
Others - 1 to 5 seats
The exit poll results released by Matrize predicted that BJP will win 85-95 seats in Assam, while Congress is likely to win 25-32 seats in the state.
Exit Poll Predictions
BJP- 85 to 95 seats
Congress - 25 to 32 seats
Others - 6 to 12 seats
The exit poll results by Axis My India are out, predicting a clean sweep for BJP in the state. The survey has projected over 88 seats for BJP in the polls, with 24-36 seats for Congress.
The exit poll predictions for Assam, as well as other four polling states, are set to be out shortly, after 6.30 pm.
In 2021, the BJP and its allies had won 75 seats, with the Congress and its allies at 50 seats, and 1 seat going to an Independent. The majority mark in the 126-member Assam Assembly is 64 seats. Read more.
Benevolent ‘mama’ to some, ruthless politician to others, Himanta Biswa Sarma is one of the most polarising figures in Assam. As the state votes on April 9, Sukrita Baruah traces his journey – his steady climb up the political ladder, from student leader to Chief Minister, his sight always set on the big game. Read more.
According to the notification issued by the Election Commission of India, the exit poll results will only be aired after 6.30 pm.
The ECI notice says, "The Election Commission under Section 126A of the RP Act 1951, has notified that the conduct of exit poll and dissemination of their results by means of print or electronic media is prohibited between 7:00 AM on 9 April 2026 (Thursday) and 6.30 PM on 29 April 2026 (Wednesday).”
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