Updated: May 9, 2016 6:35:59 pm
After weeks of number crunching, the floor test in Uttarakhand on Tuesday will finally show just who has the numbers.
What is the likely outcome of the vote in the Uttarakhand Assembly?
With the Uttarakhand High Court dismissing the plea of the nine disqualified rebel Congress legislators – and the SC upholding the disqualification – they won’t be allowed to vote in the floor test on Tuesday, so it could be Advantage Congress.
With the nine Congress MLAs disqualified, the strength of the House has been reduced to 61. The Congress now has 27 MLAs and the BJP 28, including one rebel MLA. The Congress had the support of the six members of the Progressive Democratic Front (PDF) which includes two legislators from the BSP, one from the Uttarakhand Kranti Dal (UKD) and three Independents. The BSP MLAs Haridas and Sarwat Karim Ansari have already said they are no longer part of the PDF but that they still support the Congress. However, the final decision rests with party chief Mayawati.
The BJP is hoping the two recent stings — one that features former chief minister Harish Rawat and another Congress MLA Madan Singh Bisht — will hit the Congress before the crucial test. Their party leaders also claim that more disgruntled Congressmen will vote against Rawat Tuesday.
However, not many are sure that’s the way it will go. According to political insiders, there were more Congress MLAs who were supposed to rebel but the party was able to contain their number to nine. There are some like Rekha Arya who appears to have distanced herself from the Congress but with the Uttarakhand High Court upholding the disqualification of rebel legislators, the Congress is hoping the ruling will act as a cautionary tale for the rest of the flock.
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