Explained: Taliban-US talks and the future of Afghanistanhttps://indianexpress.com/article/explained/explained-taliban-us-talks-and-the-future-of-afghanistan-5610613/

Explained: Taliban-US talks and the future of Afghanistan

The very fact that the US is talking to the Taliban legitimises their role in Afghanistan's present and future. All of this is worrying for India -- a Taliban government in Afghanistan in the near future will mean a hugely increased leverage for Pakistan in that country.

US Special Representative for Afghanistan, Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad, and Deputy Commander of the Taliban Movement for Political Affairs, Mulla Abdul Ghani Berader (right) during a meeting in Doha. (Qatar Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)
US Special Representative for Afghanistan, Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad, and Deputy Commander of the Taliban Movement for Political Affairs, Mulla Abdul Ghani Barader during a meeting in Doha. (Qatar Ministry of Foreign Affairs via AP)

American diplomats and the Taliban resumed negotiations in Doha, Qatar, on Saturday after a two-day break. The two parties have held several rounds of talks since last year in a bid to end the 17-year-long war in Afghanistan. The ongoing discussions began in the last week of February and was on a two-day recess, during which period a series of small meetings were held around town to bridge gaps on key issues in the negotiations.

President Donald Trump has directed US diplomats to hold direct talks with the Taliban. The stated objective is to narrow the gap between opposing positions and hold broader, more formal negotiations to end the war.

The Taliban have long maintained that they would negotiate only with the US, which toppled their regime in 2001. However, the US has insisted that the Afghan government should be involved in the process. Several attempts at holding discussions to end the war have, therefore, not progressed. Trump’s decision to hold direct negotiations was, therefore, a significant policy shift.

US special representative Zalmay Khalilzad has met with Taliban deputy leader Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, a co-founder of the Islamist movement who is believed to be close to the Taliban emir, Maulvi Haibatullah Akhundzada. Khalilzad and Baradar are reported to have agreed in principle on a framework for a deal last month.

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Under the framework agreement, the United States is required to withdraw all its troops from Afghanistan, and the Taliban are required to never use Afghan soil for carrying out terrorist activities. After the last set of discussions in January, Khalilzad had said in an interview to The New York Times: “The Taliban have committed, to our satisfaction, to do what is necessary that would prevent Afghanistan from ever becoming a platform for international terrorist groups or individuals.”

More recently, the Taliban negotiating team has claimed the discussions were progressing, and that the technical groups were working a draft agreement. However, several complications continue to stand in the way, including the continued violence in Afghanistan. Last week, Taliban fighters had attempted to storm a US-Afghan military base in the southern Afghanistan province of Helmand.

There are international factors as well. Enmity between host country, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, as well as ongoing tensions between India and Pakistan have thrown a cloud of uncertainty over the outcome of the talks.

The very fact that the US is talking to the Taliban legitimises their role in Afghanistan’s present and future. They are currently the most important player in the benighted country, able to carry out attacks almost at will, and President Ashraf Ghani’s government is widely believed to be in power in Kabul only because of US support. All of this is worrying for India — a Taliban government in Afghanistan in the near future will mean a hugely increased leverage for Pakistan in that country.

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