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Behind ongoing heatwave in the US, a combination of heat dome and climate change

A NASA modelling system found that summer heatwaves in the US roughly doubled in number between 1980 and 2023, increasing from an average of two to four per month.

Heat dome US: People cool off at Grand Haven State Park along Lake Michigan on June 30.People cool off at Grand Haven State Park along Lake Michigan on June 30. (Joel Bissell/Kalamazoo Gazette via AP)
4 min readNew DelhiJul 6, 2026 11:14 AM IST First published on: Jul 5, 2026 at 06:49 PM IST

After record temperatures were reported in recent weeks across India and Europe, the United States is now witnessing a prolonged heatwave.

The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) stated that a persistent “heat dome” will bake a good chunk of the US on the Fourth of July weekend, with high temperatures soaring 10-20 degrees F above average. Numerous daily temperature records are expected to be surpassed.

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Seen as part of a trend over the last few years, this is not entirely unusual. The year 2023 saw a severe heat wave event over the southwestern US and Mexico, lasting from mid-June to early August and affecting over 100 million people. Year-on-year, the effects of man-made climate change are also intensifying natural phenomena such as El Niño, and scientists have identified it as a key reason for the ongoing European heatwave.

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