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Coronavirus numbers explained: Kerala growing faster than national average

In the last one month, the number of confirmed cases in Kerala has grown by almost four times, at a rate which is among the fastest in India.

Written by Amitabh Sinha , Edited by Explained Desk
Pune | August 20, 2020 12:36:51 pm
Indian nationals board a flight from Dubai to Kerala. Nearly half a million people are estimated to have returned to Kerala in the last two months. (Twitter/@cgidubai)

Kerala, once the most successful state in containing the spread of the novel Coronavirus epidemic, has been adding relatively large number of cases for several weeks now. On Wednesday, the state detected more than 2,000 cases in a day for the first time, and simultaneously reached 50,000-figure for confirmed cases.

In the last one month, the number of confirmed cases has grown by almost four times, at a rate which is among the fastest in India. Even now, at 4.01 per cent per day it is growing much faster than the national rate. In fact, amongst the states with high caseloads, those with more than 20,000 confirmed cases, only Punjab has higher growth rate than Kerala right now.

The death count has also increased substantially in the last few weeks, though the state still has one of the lowest fatality rates in the country, at least amongst the major states. So far, deaths of 225 Coronavirus positive patients have been recorded but, the state says, 43 of these had happened due to other reasons, and are not being counted as Covid-19 deaths.

Coronavirus cases in Kerala had begun to grow after the travel restrictions had been eased for the first time in the first week of May. Most of the new cases at that time were those coming back from other states or foreign countries. Nearly half a million people are estimated to have returned to Kerala in the last two months. Even now, about one fourth of the total confirmed cases in the state are those who have a history of inter-state or international travel. But the infection has spread amongst the local population as well, and Kerala was one of the first states to acknowledge community transmission, at least in the coastal districts which are the worst affected.

Besides Kerala, Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh also recorded their single day highs on Wednesday. Uttar Pradesh crossed the 5000-mark for the first time, while Maharashtra breached the 13,000-figure.

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More than 69,000 new cases were detected across the country on Wednesday, a new high. The total number of people who have so far been infected has risen to 28.36 lakh, nearly three quarters of which, almost 21 lakh, have already recovered from the disease. The death count is close to 54,000 now.

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Top ten states with maximum caseload:

STATE TOTAL POSITIVE NEW CASES TOTAL RECOVERIES DEATHS

 

Maharashtra 628,642 13,165 446,881 21,033
Tamil Nadu 355,449 5,795 296,171 6,123
Andhra Pradesh 316,003 9,742 226,372 2,906
Karnataka 249,590 8,642 164,150 4,343
Uttar Pradesh 167,510 4,806 115,227 2,368
Delhi 156,139 1,398 140,767 4,235
West Bengal 125,922 3,169 95,663 2,581
Bihar 112,759 2,884 84,578 568
Telangana 97,424 1,724 75,186 729
Assam 84,317 2,116 60,348 213

The testing numbers also recorded a new high on Wednesday, crossing the 9-lakh figure for the first time. More than 9.18 lakh samples were tested, which takes the total number of tests, carried out since the beginning of the outbreak, to 3.26 crore. Only China, the United States and Russia have tested more samples. Russia is only marginally ahead, and is likely to be overtaken by India on Thursday itself.

Within the country, Uttar Pradesh has emerged as the state that has tested the largest number of samples now, overtaking Tamil Nadu which had been in the lead for more than two months. Uttar Pradesh now has conducted over 40 lakh tests, though most of this has been through the rapid antigen testing kits. Tamil Nadu continues to deploy the more robust RT-PCR tests, and it has so far tested more than 39 lakh samples. Maharashtra and Andhra Pradesh which have done more than 30 lakh tests till now.

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