Day temperatures have been soaring in the last one week, with the city’s temperature hovering around 38 degree celsius, almost two degrees above normal. In Lohegaon area, the temperature has touched nearly 40 degree celsius and in most other parts of the state as well, temperatures remained above normal.
The Met Department in their forecast issued on Friday stated that minimum temperatures will remain above normal. Almost all the districts in the Pune division – Sangli, Satara, Solapur and Kolhapur — have temperatures above 36 degrees celsius and the Met Department has stated that it is observed that the temperatures are on a rise.
Meanwhile their release also states that the south west monsoon has further advanced into the remaining parts of the southeast and southwest Bay of Bengal as well as eastcentral and westcentral and northeast. Rain and thundershowers are forecast at most places in the north and south regions, especially Kerala. The Met Department had issued the forecast of the monsoon onset over Kerala on June 5.
The onset of the southwest monsoon over Kerala signals the arrival of the monsoon over the Indian subcontinent and represents the beginning of the rainy season over the region. From 2005 onwards, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has been issuing operational forecasts for the date of monsoon onset over Kerala using an indigenously developed statistical model.
The model uses the following six predictors — Minimum Temperature over North-west India, Pre-monsoon rainfall peak over south Peninsula, Outgoing Long wave Radiation (OLR) over the South China Sea, lower tropospheric zonal wind over the southeast Indian ocean, upper tropospheric zonal wind over the east equatorial Indian Ocean, and Outgoing Long wave Radiation (OLR) over the south-west Pacific region.