The escalation of tensions between Israel and Iran, propelling the Middle East, already on edge, into even greater upheaval is giving Basmati exporters in Punjab sleepless nights. Middle East in general and Iran in particular a major importer of Basmati rice from India.
Several ships carrying the table staple are currently in transit and exporters are worried that in the tension between Iran and Israel escalates further and the conflict is prolonged, the ships may have to return, inflicting on them losses worth several crores.
“We cannot afford a conflict. A number of our ships, with consignments of Basmati, are already in transit. If the conflict deepens, our Basmati would not be able to reach the destination. This will mean a loss of millions for us,” Ashok Sethi of Punjab Basmati Exporters Association told The Indian Express.
Middle-East is a major consumer of Basmati from India and Punjab accounts for 40 per cent of nation’s Basmati production. “This is giving us sleepless nights. Ever since our parners in the Middle East informed us about Israel launching an attack, we have just kept our fingers crossed,” said Sethi.
Israel launched attacks on the heart of Iran’s nuclear and military structure Friday, deploying warplanes and drones to attack key facilities and kill top generals and scientists — a barrage it said was necessary before its adversary got any closer to building an atomic weapon. Iran retaliated by sending a swarm of drones at Israel, with Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei warning of “severe punishment.”
Sethi said, “We will be having very serious economic consequences if the situation worsens. At least 70 per cent of our Basmati exports are linked with Middle-East. The logistics companies are already worried. Shipments will be delayed. Entire trade ecosystem will be affected. We are really worried”.
He added that the consignments cannot be insured too as the insurance firms refuse cover to the consignment mean for conflict zone. “All this will have serious repercussions. It is not only about Basmati, but also about oil. India will suffer a great deal if oil imports are impacted due to the conflict,” he added.
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According to Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority (APEDA), India’s foreign exchange earnings from basmati rice exports were Rs 48,000 crore in 2022, out of which Punjab contributed at least 40%.
Arvinder Pal Singh Chawla, another exporter said that Iran was second largest importer of India’s Basmati after Saudi Arabia. “This conflict will definitely affect us. I do not know for how long the situation will continue. At the moment it is end of season. We are waiting for reimbursements. Some ships are still in transit. Financially, we will be affected”.
He added that out of 60 million tonnes of Basmati exported by India, 40 million tonnes went to Middle East alone. “We are monitoring the situation how it is panning out.”
Sethi said, “We are already suffering economically as our trade with Pakistan and Afghanistan is hit due to India’s strained relations with the neighbouring country. We are a landlocked state and Amritsar is closest to Lahore. But we cannot even raise the issue in the present circumstances”.
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Sethi said paddy sowing season has begun in Punjab. “It is at this juncture that area from under paddy can be diverted to Basmati. But with Middle East turning into a conflict zone, the farmers here will be discouraged from sowing Basmati. I have already started getting calls from farmers as to what would happen next,” he said.
According to the Punjab agriculture department, the 1121, 1509 and 1692 varieties of Basmati are grown in the state.
In case exporters fail to export Basmati to the countries in the Middle East, they will be forced to sell in the domestic market, where aromatic rice does not fetch the premium rates.
Kanchan Vasdev is a Senior Assistant Editor in The Indian Express’ Punjab bureau. She is a highly experienced journalist with 22 years of expertise covering high-stakes politics, governance, and social issues in Northern India.
Professional Background
Role: Primary reporter covering the Punjab Chief Minister’s Office (CMO), government policies, and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) leadership in the state.
Experience: She previously worked with The Tribune and has played a key role in launching various city editions.
Special Projects:
Abandoned Brides: Authored a monograph on brides abandoned by NRIs as part of the Prabha Dutt Memorial Fellowship.
Environment: Worked as a Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) fellow, focusing on the pollution levels in the Satluj river.
Recent Notable Articles (Late 2025)
Her recent reporting focuses on the legislative strategies and political maneuvers of the Bhagwant Mann-led Punjab government:
1. Legislative & Governance Standoffs
"Punjab govt advances special Assembly session to pass resolution against VB-G RAM G Bill" (Dec 20, 2025): Reporting on the state's move to block the Centre's "Viksit Bharat" mission, which the state claims will undermine MGNREGA.
"Punjab govt doubles down on special sessions, sixth in January" (Dec 19, 2025): Detailing the AAP government's use of special sessions as a legislative tool amid tensions with the Governor.
"Punjab asks 'VIP teachers' working near Chandigarh to go back to border districts" (Dec 16, 2025): Reporting on CM Mann's move to end the practice of influential teachers avoiding postings in remote areas.
2. Political Analysis & Rural Polls
"Punjab rural polls: Why Akalis are likened to dinosaurs in Punjab" (Dec 19, 2025): Analyzing CM Bhagwant Mann's rhetoric against the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) following local body elections.
"AAP claims win in 78% Punjab zila parishads as counting continues" (Dec 18, 2025): Breaking down the results of the 2025 rural elections.
"Rahul Gandhi and Sidhu alike, says Bhagwant Mann" (Dec 13, 2025): Covering the CM's critique of the Congress leadership.
3. Law Enforcement & Bureaucracy
"Suspended Punjab IPS officer Ravjot Kaur Grewal awaits reinstatement" (Dec 10, 2025): Investigative reporting on the bureaucratic red tape involving the Election Commission and the state government.
"Punjab declines to give parole to Amritpal Singh" (Nov 27, 2025): Detailing the state government's refusal to grant parole to the radical preacher and sitting MP.
4. Welfare & Economy
"Punjab government's plan to add more freebies to 'atta-dal' scheme hits funds roadblock" (Dec 4, 2024): An analysis of the fiscal challenges facing the state's flagship food security program.
"Mann leads Punjab delegation to Japan and South Korea for investor outreach" (Dec 2, 2025).
Signature Beat
Kanchan Vasdev is known for her insider access to Punjab's political executive. Her writing provides deep insights into how state policies are formulated and the friction points between the state government and central authorities. Her dual expertise in environment and law allows her to report on complex issues like the "Farmhouse Policy" (Dec 18, 2025) and river pollution with a unique policy-oriented lens.
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