Say price not expected to rise between April-June this year,exports may marginally push up price
Junagadh Agriculture University (JAU) has advised the wheat growers of Gujarat to sell their produce in installments.
R L Shiyani from the Agriculture Economics Department at JAU has said that the prices may not rise much owing to bumper production due to favourable weather conditions across India. The prices are likely to remain in the range of Rs 240 to 310 per 20 kg at the time of harvesting between April and June 2011.
But the prices might witness a marginal increase if the government allows export in future,he said.
The global wheat consumption is expected to rise by one per cent and the production expected to decline by 4 per cent in 2010-11. Lower wheat production is expected in the Black Sea region,Russia and Canada due to adverse weather conditions. The wheat production in the European Union,the worlds largest wheat producing region,is also estimated to go down by three million tonnes in 2010-11,he said.
Shiyani said JAU has passed on the information to more than 76,000 farmers through SMSes in collaboration with IFFCO. The price forecast on wheat is part of a National Agricultural Innovation Project (NAIP) for establishing and networking of agricultural intelligence centres in the country and JAU is among the 11 centres in the country,which has been giving information to farmers for the last one and a half year before sowing and before harvesting of the crop,Shiyani said.
Shiyani told The Indian Express that after studying the demand and supply of various commodities in Gujarat and elsewhere in India and abroad,JAU advised farmers which crop to grow so that they fetch the maximum profit. After the crop was ready,farmers were advised when to sell it to get the maximum price of the produce,he added.
Associate Prof M G Dandaliya said: Since the country is going to have a bumper wheat crop and prices will be lower during the harvesting season,we have advised the farmers to hold over the material for a few months so that they can get better prices.
IFFCO representative Mukesh Patel said his organisation is having a list of thousands of farmers and has informed them of the price situation provided by JAU so that they sell their produce when it fetches the best prices.
Shiyani further said that the area under wheat cultivation in India was about 2.91 crore hectares this year,9 lakh hectares more than last year. A bumper production of 8.2 crore tonnes is expected this year against 8.07 crore tonnes last year. In Gujarat,the area under wheat cultivation has gone up from 9.08 lakh hectares in 2009-10 to 12.89 lakh hectares,and wheat production is expected to rise by 25 per cent to 36 lakh tonnes over last year.