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Saturday, May 30, 2020

Asia stocks relieved by China export surprise, US bonds face debt flood

Japan's Nikkei was off a slim 0.2% while South Korea added 0.2%. Chinese blue chips were just a fraction lower, while E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 bounced 0.5%.

By: Reuters | Sydney | Published: May 7, 2020 10:18:34 am
GLOBAL MARKETS - Asia shares jump but pandemic hangs heavy over outlook, Asian stock markets, MSCI ex-Japan starts higher on Tuesday, Nikkei rises too, Signs of peaking in coronavirus outbreak helping sentiment, Confidence tempered by fears of global recession, Investors eye Chinese trade data, corporate results, global market news, world market news update, business news india, indian express business news A visitor takes a photo of screens displaying stock indices at the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), operated by Japan Exchange Group Inc. (JPX), in Tokyo, Japan, on Monday, March 11, 2018. (Image source: Toru Hanai/Bloomberg)

Asian shares pared early losses on Thursday after Chinese exports proved far stronger than even bulls had imagined, while US bond investors were still daunted by the staggering amount of new debt set to be sold in coming weeks.

Beijing reported exports rose 3.5% in April on a year earlier, completely confounding expectations of a 15.1% fall and outweighing a 14.2% drop in imports.

The surprise stoked speculation the Asian giant could recover from its coronavirus lockdown quicker than first thought and support global growth in the process.

The news helped regional market steady after a shaky start and MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was back to near flat.

Japan’s Nikkei was off a slim 0.2% while South Korea added 0.2%. Chinese blue chips were just a fraction lower, while E-Mini futures for the S&P 500 bounced 0.5%.

Markets had started cautiously with renewed Sino-US tensions lurking in the background.

US President Donald Trump said he would be able to report in about a week or two whether China is meeting its obligations under a trade deal, as Washington weighed punitive action against Beijing over its handling of the coronavirus outbreak.

The flow of economic data also remained grim, with US private employers laying off 20 million workers in April.

Figures due later on Thursday are forecast to show initial jobless claims rose a further 3 million last week, while Friday’s payrolls report is expected to see 22 million jobs lost and unemployment hit 16% or higher.

On Wall Street, energy and utility sectors were the main losers while demand for techs kept the Nasdaq in the black. The Dow had ended down 0.91% and the S&P 500 0.70%, while the Nasdaq added 0.51%.

WORLD’S BIGGEST BORROWER

Bond markets saw one of the largest shifts in a while after the US Treasury said it would borrow a truly astonishing $2.999 trillion during the June quarter, five times larger than the previous single-quarter record.

It will sell $96 billion next week alone and a surprising amount of that will be at longer tenors, which in turn pushed up long-term yields and steepened the curve.

Yields on 30-year bonds jumped 7 basis points to 1.40%, the largest daily increase since mid-March.

That rise gave a lift to the US dollar on most currencies and its index firmed to 100.140. The euro eased to $1.0800, hurt in part by a gloomy economic outlook from the European Commission.

Indeed, the single currency sank to its lowest against the Japanese yen since late 2016 at 114.40, and even the dollar touched a seven-week trough at 105.98 yen.

“There’s a lot to like about the yen these days,” said Deutsche Bank’s global head of G10 FX Alan Ruskin.

He noted that with rates across the globe falling to all time lows, the yen no longer had a large yield disadvantage.

“Across all of 3m, 2y, 5y and long-end tenors, the average spread between yen rates and the average of G10 yields are at lows not seen for at least the last three decades,” he said.

The yen was also cheap by many measures, he argued, with fair value put at around 85 per dollar.

In commodity markets, gold eased on expectations that supplies will grow as bullion refineries resume operations. The metal was last at $1,689.68 an ounce.

Oil prices turned flat after a six-session streak of gains which saw Brent almost double since hitting a 21-year low in April.

Brent crude futures were last up 3 cents at $29.70 a barrel, while US crude rose 6 cents to $24.05.

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