India’s top trade partner: China regains spot on higher imports

India’s bilateral trade with China in FY24 stood at $118.4 billion as imports increased by 3.24 per cent to $101.7 billion and exports rose by 8.7 per cent to $16.67 billion in FY24 compared to FY23, GTRI data showed.

Between FY19 and FY24, India’s exports to China witnessed a marginal decline in exports by 0.6 per cent, down from $16.75 billion to $16.66 billion, while imports from China surged by 44.7 per cent, up from $70.32 billion to $101.75 billion

In contrast, India-US two-way trade came in at $118.3 billion in FY24 after exports dipped by 1.32 per cent to $77.5 billion compared to the previous financial year. Meanwhile, imports also dipped 20 per cent to $40.8 billion.

During the last five years, trade with the US showed positive growth, with exports increasing significantly by 47.9 per cent from $52.41 billion to $77.52 billion. Imports from the US grew by 14.7 per cent, rising from $35.55 billion to $40.78 billion. This resulted in an expanded trade surplus for India, which grew from $16.86 billion to $36.74 billion, GTRI report said.

India trade relations with China have been under scrutiny largely due to India’s dependence on the neighbouring country’s critical products such as telecom & smartphone parts, pharma, advanced technology components among others.

However, India has undertaken significant measures to decrease its dependence on China through production linked incentive schemes (PLI), anti-dumping duties along with quality control orders.

“India imported $4.2 billion worth of telecom and smartphone parts, accounting for 44 per cent of total imports in this category, indicating significant reliance on Chinese components. Laptops and PCs imports from China totaled $3.8 billion, making up 77.7 per cent of India’s imports in this sector, showcasing a heavy dependence on Chinese technology,” GTRI report said.

In the fast emerging EV sector too, India’s dependence on China is high as lithium-ion batteries for EVs, imported from China, were valued at $2.2 billion, comprising 75 per cent of such imports, critical for India’s electrification of transport.

The GTRI report further said that exports to China have remained near stagnant between FY19 and FY24 while imports have surged by nearly 45 per cent which has resulted in widening of the trade deficit from $53.57 billion in FY 2019 to $85.09 billion in FY 2024.

During the last five years, Russia’s trading figures were marked by a dramatic increase, with exports growing by 78.3 per cent from $2.39 billion to $4.26 billion, while imports soared by 952 per cent from $5.84 billion to $61.44 billion, widening the trade deficit from $3.45 billion to $57.18 billion.

However, Saudi Arabia’s exports more than doubled, with  a 107.9 per cent increase from $5.56 billion to $11.56 billion. Imports rose at a slower pace by 11.7 per cent from $28.48 billion to $31.81 billion, which slightly reduced the trade deficit from $22.92 billion to $20.25 billion.

UAE rose by 18.3 per cent

from $30.13 billion to $35.63 billion, and imports increased substantially by 61.2 per cent from $29.79 billion to $48.02 billion. This shift turned a marginal trade surplus of $0.34 billion in FY19 into a deficit of $12.39 billion by FY24,” GTRI report said.