Warren Buffett’s failure to beat the stock market in four of the past five years has raised the issue of whether Berkshire Hathaway’s 83-year-old CEO has lost his touch.
Buffett is likely to face questions about the conglomerate’s performance when more than 30,000 shareholders gather for Berkshire’s annual meeting in Omaha, Nebraska, on Saturday.
It’s not the first time people have wondered if Buffett is off his game. Criticism of Buffett reached its peak during the 1990s tech bubble because he refused to invest in dot-com businesses he didn’t understand. Berkshire’s Class A stock sunk to roughly $56,000 a share. When the tech bubble burst, many of those businesses failed while Berkshire continued to prosper through acquisitions and investments. These days, Berkshire’s A stock trades at more than $1,93,000 a share.
Critics point out that Berkshire lagged the market in four of the past five years, based on Buffett’s own yardstick. That measurement, Berkshire’s book value, gained 18.2 per cent in 2013, lagging S&P 500’s rise of 32.4 per cent, including dividends.
But that short-term view obscures the fact that Berkshire Hathaway has only trailed the S&P 500 10 times since Buffett took over in 1965. And cumulatively, Berkshire has delivered compounded annual gains of 19.7 per cent to the S&P 500’s 9.8 per cent. Berkshire is also sitting on at least $48 billion in cash.
Buffett has told investors for several years that the massive size of Berkshire makes it impossible for him to match the investment gains he delivered decades ago, but he still believes Berkshire will beat the overall market.