In a paper presented at the India Policy Forum in New Delhi, Subramanian begins by arguing that in the period between 2011 and 2016, the Indian economy was hit by a series of shocks which should have negatively impacted economic activity.
In a new paper 'Validating India's GDP Growth Estimates', Arvind Subramanian said he had indicated his doubts on the growth numbers in the Economic Survey in 2015 as well as mid-year Economic Analysis.
In his research paper, Subramanian concluded that India's growth rate has been overestimated by around 2.5 percentage points between 2011-12 and 2016-17, triggering a heated debate over the accuracy of growth figures.
The EAC note states that the former CEA used 17 indicators and a majority of these were taken directly from Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy (CMIE), a private agency that is not a primary source of information but collects it from different sources.
In this edition of the Idea Exchange, Former Chief Economic Adviser Arvind Subramanian talks about demonitisation, defends GST, explains the reasons why growth has not been robust and reflects back on his tenure as Chief Economic Adviser of India.