BJP likely to win 206-216 seats in Uttar Pradesh elections: Opinion poll

BJP's vote share surprisingly increased from 31 per cent in October to 33 per cent in December, a clear indication that the scrapping of old high tender notes will bear no effect on the poll outcome.

By: Express Web Desk | New Delhi | Updated: January 4, 2017 11:45 pm
main BJP’s vote share surprisingly increased from 31 per cent in October to 33 per cent in December, a clear indication that the scrapping of old high tender notes will bear no effect on the poll outcome.

The Bharatiya Janata Party is all set to clinch Uttar Pradesh in this year’s crucial state assembly elections, according to the India Today-Axis opinion poll. In a poll survey conducted between October and December last year, voters gave a thumping mandate to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s party despite the controversies surrounding the Centre’s demonetisation drive. BJP’s vote share surprisingly increased from 31 per cent in October to 33 per cent in December, a clear indication that the scrapping of old high tender notes will bear no effect on the poll outcome. This would roughly translate into 206-216 seats for the BJP, edging them past the halfway mark in the 403-member assembly. This is a major improvement considering that the party had won just 47 seats in the last assembly elections, a far cry from the 71 of the 80 Lok Sabha seats it had won in 2014.

The polls survey paints a grim picture for the ruling Samajwadi Party, which is currently embroiled in a bitter feud between rival factions over the control of the party. SP’s seat share is predicted to fall from 224 seats it won in 2012 to just 92-97 seats this year. The party can, however, take solace from the fact that Akhilesh Yadav emerged as a clear choice for the next state chief minister. Thirty three per cent of those polled wanted to see him return to power.

It is not all rosy in the Opposition benches. The BSP will be relegated to third place as they are likely to go on to win the same number of seats as last time (79-85 seats). Out of power in UP for 27 years, the Congress wait seems to stretch for a lot longer than expected as their numbers are expected to fall to single digits (5-9 seats). Other parties such as the Rashtriya Lok Dal, Apna Dal, the Left might win shore up anywhere between 7-11 seats.

The polling exercise in Uttar Pradesh will be spread over seven phases, with the first phase set to begin on February 11. The last date of  polling is on March 8 and counting of votes will begin on March 11.

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    Pratap Rao
    Jan 5, 2017 at 10:15 am
    Who are these bhaktas predicting victory for BJP IN UP? Are the people so dumb? We have had the worst suffering economically since independence under this regime. I do not think from the way I know UP BJP will cross 50 seats. BSP will win followed by Akilesh
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      Anonh
      Jan 4, 2017 at 8:55 pm
      Hahahahaha. lt;br/gt;lt;br/gt;Paid opinion polls just like in Delhi and Bihar. The criminals of BJP will be defeated by the people of this country
      Reply
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        Ali Koya
        Jan 4, 2017 at 11:31 pm
        I surprise about the media. They know the illiterate Indian voters can influence the WIN/LOSS. The leading economists in the world already proclaimed that our GDP will come down!! Across the country business is down. Lot of people lost their job. The villagers not getting the value of their products. So far people are in dark that how much black money exposed. Let any party come!!! But why media playing. They want any party over the prosprity of our beloved INDIA!!!!??!
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          Prateik
          Jan 4, 2017 at 7:11 pm
          Like BJP win in Bihar?
          Reply
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            IslamForFooools
            Jan 4, 2017 at 7:00 pm
            Allah k ma ki ch0000 t
            Reply
            1. I
              IslamForFooools
              Jan 4, 2017 at 7:00 pm
              Fck allah
              Reply
              1. I
                IslamForFooools
                Jan 4, 2017 at 5:43 pm
                Hindu girls were raped and murdered, converted to filthy Islam, even married Hindu women were not able to get out of houses in Katrina, Uttar Pradesh, due to mussel an Shaitan people. Hindus must vote BJP into power if they want even just to survive. Islam is spreading like cancer in West Bengal where Hindu houses are burned, shops burned, Hindus murdered, women raped by Muslims of mamata banerji
                Reply
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                  IslamForFooools
                  Jan 4, 2017 at 6:58 pm
                  Islam is root cause of all terrorism not BJP or Hindus , kuran needs to be thrown into toilet
                  Reply
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