Will the Laxmikant Parsekar-led BJP government be able to retain power in Goa? The elections results of the 40-member Goa Assembly is perhaps the toughest to call in the state’s history given that this is the first time the state is seeing a serious three-legged contest. The Aam Aamdi Party has posed a serious challenge to the Congress, while the RSS-faction Goa Suraksha Manch, that is in alliance with the MGP, poses a threat to the BJP vote share.
Watch Video | Exit Polls 2017: Survey Predicts BJP Win Ahead In UP, Congress Win In Punjab
Here’s what the exit polls predictions in Goa will be:
India TV| Congress (10), BJP (15), AAP (7), Others (8)
Times Now with C-Voter predict BJP (15-21), Congress (12-18), AAP (0-4)
India Today Axis | Congress (9-13), BJP (18-22), AAP (0-2), Others (5-9)
NewsX-MRC | BJP+ (15), Congress (10), AAP (07)
The India Today C-Voter exit poll results predict a win for the BJP in the elections with analysts saying that it is the Union government led-by Narendra Modi that the voters have confidence in. The state government headed by BJP had its fair share of controversies but that, according to the survey, does not seem to have had an impact on the voters. The survey claims that the middle class voters will vote for the BJP keeping in mind their state leader Manohar Parrikar, who continues to have his say in the governance of the state.
The Aam Aadmi Party, however, has rejected the exit poll results saying it’s impossible to figure out the silent voter and that this election has seen a large percentage of silent voters. Interestingly, the survey adds that the voters did not keep demonetisation in mind while casting their vote.
Impact of smaller parties
However, what will be important to note is how smaller parties such as the GSM+ MGP + Shiv Sena and the Aam Aadmi Party emerge in the results. Will these parties win big or will they only end up eating the votes of the two main parties – the BJP and the Congress. Experts believe that the AAP will end up eating the votes of the Congress in the Catholic-dominated areas of Goa specially South Goa. In the north, where the BJP is strong, the MGP will win their primary three seats and the alliance with the GSM and Sena could eat into the BJP vote share and help the alliance win a few more, experts say.