US presidential elections 2016: Hillary Clinton has 70 per cent chance of winning, says top pollster

This is up from a 65 per cent chance on Sunday night

By: PTI | Washington | Updated: November 8, 2016 11:43 am
donald trump, hillary clinton, us presidential elections, us elections, trump news, clinton news, clinton winning chance, trump winning chance US presidential candidates Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. (File photo)

Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton has a 70 per cent chance of winning the White House race against her Republican rival Donald Trump, a top American pollster has said on the eve of what is being described as the most crucial election in decades.

“Hillary Clinton has a 70 per cent chance of winning the election,” said FiveThirtyEight website’s Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the outcome of 2008 and 2012 presidential elections.

This is up from a 65 per cent chance on Sunday night, so Clinton, 69, has had a good run in the polls in the final days of the campaign, he said.

Clinton’s projected margin of victory in the popular vote has increased to 3.5 per cent from 2.9 per cent, Silver said.

In the 19 latest polls taken into account by the poll, Clinton is leading in 17 polls while Trump, 70, leads in just two polls.

Clinton’s poll margin ranges from six per cent to two per cent, while Trump’s ranges from two to five per cent.

“Seven of the 19 polls have Clinton leading by 4 points; another four have her ahead by 3 points, then we have a smattering of 1’s, 2’s and 6’s, along with two pollsters, IBD/ TIPP and Los Angeles/USC Dornsife, who still have Trump ahead.

“On average, Clinton leads by 2.9 points in the polls, although the highest-rated pollsters have her a bit higher at 3.8 points, on average. As is usually the case, the range of national polls closely matches the FiveThirtyEight popular- vote forecast,” Silver said.

On the eve of the elections, Clinton had a lead of 2.9 percentage points over Trump in the website’s average of polls.

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First Published on: November 8, 2016 10:42 am
  1. B
    bharosa
    Nov 9, 2016 at 7:20 am
    Hahahaha... bhai lagta hai tum pressudes ko muh ki khani padegi. Trump is upto 266 and needs only 4 more electoral votes to win.lt;br/gt;Agar Trump jeet jata hai to kasam kha lo ke kabhi biased aur ek tarfa reporting nahi karoge. Warna jaan lo ke tumhaara business band hone wala hai kyonki log tumpe kabhi bharosa nahi karenge.
    Reply
    1. G
      Ganesh Jaguva
      Nov 8, 2016 at 9:03 am
      as if the deep state in us of a will allow anyone else to win. most of the elections in us of a r fixed like boxing matches.
      Reply