The toughest political question in Nepal is not whether Nepal Prime Minister K P Oli will survive the no-trust motion, but what happens after his defeat in a country that has seen nearly two dozen governments come and go in the past 26 years of democracy.
Numbers in Parliament heavily weigh in support of the no-trust motion that may see the 10-month-old Oli-led coalition collapse when the House takes it up for voting following a discussion that begins Thursday.
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As the Nepali Congress and the Nepal Communist Party-Maoist Centre, the joint sponsors of the motion, have mobilised adequate numbers and have already decided to form a coalition government led by Maoist chief Pushpa Kamal Dahal “Prachanda”, Oli is banking more on his continuation as the Prime Minister of a care-taker government over lack of clarity in the constitution about electing a successor PM.
Oli has been keeping his cards close to his chest, but during a meeting of the Communist Party of Nepal-Unified Marxist Leninist, that he heads, he gave hints that the House may not run smoothly. Law Minister Agni Kharel accused Speaker Onsari Gharti, who belongs to the Prachanda’s Maoist Party, of having stalled debates and passage of important bills by removing them from the scheduled agenda, indicating that the House could even be stalled.
Kharel also said that the there was no clarity in the constitution about successor of Oli if was debated.
As an atmosphere of uncertainty charged with political distrust prevailed in the capital, Speaker Gharti met with President Bidhya Devi Bhandari to give a briefing about the situation.
A press release issued by the President’s Office said Ms Bhandari suggested that the constitution could be implemented only if the political parties worked together in a spirit of conciliation and unity.
The no-trust motion has already been endorsed by nearly 350 members in a House that has an effective strength of 598.