Akhilesh-Mulayam spat could make Mayawati smile; here is why

The divide in the party most likely will benefit the BSP rather than either Mulayam or Akhilesh.

Written by Kanishka Singh | New Delhi | Updated: October 24, 2016 11:40 am
Mulayam Singh Yadav, Uniform civil code, samajwadi party chief, samajwadi party, muslims, uttar pradesh elections, India news, lucknow, lucknow news Mulayam Singh Yadav and Shivpal Yadav will do every bit possible to cut Akhilesh’s support base among the middle class and Yadav voters. (PTI photo)

The split in the Samajwadi pariwar in Uttar Pradesh has intensified to a point that there are now talks of Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav floating his own political outfit soon. If the Samajwadi Party does split, Akhilesh will have to create a robust political organisation like the one his father has set up over the past many decades to be able to take on the rest of the yadav clan. Also, father Mulayam Singh Yadav and uncle Shivpal Yadav will do every bit possible to cut Akhilesh’s support base among the middle class and Yadav voters. The bigger concern, however, will be the ability of either faction to hold on to crucial Muslim votes.

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The divide in the party will most likely benefit the BSP, which has been able to consolidate the Muslim votes in the past too. BSP chief Mayawati started her poll campaign asking the Muslim community to vote for her as supporting the SP could benefit the Bharatiya Janata Party. Her campaign coupled with the spree of gau rakshak attacks on Muslims and Dalits have strongly polarised the electorate and made it an ideal scenario for the BSP. Muslims have backed Mulayam for decades, but the infighting in SP ahead of its silver jubilee celebrations only means the party, whoever is at the helm, will have to manage this crucial vote bank shrewdly in the run up to the elections.

And the split in SP seems imminent unless some serious fire-fighting happens soon. Mulayam has stifled Akhilesh’s authority in the party and the state government. There are even chances of his taking away the reigns of power from his son. If this happens the Akhilesh faction will find it hard to cash in on the SP vote bank thanks to Mulayam’s personal connect with the Yadav and the Muslim communities — the mainstay of the party.

In Akhilesh’s favour is the pro-growth policies and agendas of his four years in power, much in contrast to the “goonda” culture symbolic of previous SP governments. The Yadav community has accepted their “Akhilesh bhaiya” as a leader who understands their development needs and is seemingly willing to work to that effect rather than pander to Mulayam and Amar Singh’s whims. It takes courage to stand up to Mulayam in the SP and events of the past few weeks have made Akhilesh a hero for some, though it doesn’t make Mulayam a villain.

The rumours mills do suggest a complicated equation between Mulayam and his son. Going against his father means losing the party’s reins, but Akhilesh seemed up to it. It seems that the young Yadav has decided to break away the shackles put on him by his father and assert himself as a serious player in the UP political battleground. After sacking controversial ministers from his Cabinet like Gayatri Prajapati, Akhilesh had emerged as someone who identifies with the concerns of the middle class working voters. Now, it remains to be seen if Akhilesh will go all out against his own party in these elections.

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  1. S
    SubbuI
    Oct 23, 2016 at 5:04 pm
    ADVANTAGE CONGRESS IN UP. EVERY THING IS PIBLE IN POLITICS. AKILESH AND RAHUL MAY JOIN HANDS.AMAR SINGH THE SAKUNI IS PLANTED BY KALNAYAK GUNDA MODI IN SP TO SPLIT THE PARTY. THEY IS GOING TO BE TWIST IN THE TALE.AZAM KHAN AND AMAR SINGH HAVE 36 KA AKKADA HAI.lt;br/gt;MUSLIM WILL VOTE FOR AKILESH AS AZAM KHAN WILL SUPPORT AKILESH lt;br/gt;ABHI KAHANI BAAKI HAI BOSS
    Reply
    1. Q
      Qaiser Qaiser
      Oct 24, 2016 at 6:22 am
      until SP sort out its matter mayawati should rule the state to avoid confusions
      Reply
      1. P
        Pavi
        Oct 24, 2016 at 11:37 am
        In a four-conrned election - SP, BSP, BJP, and Akhlish-Congress combine, BJP will have an edge. BSP will emerge as second largest party, while the others - SP and Akhilesh-Congress combine will be routed. SP would still remain ahead of Akhilesh-Congress. In today's public spat, Mulayam shouted at Akhilesh, "Tumhari aukaat hi kyaa hai". I think that is true. Akhilesh got UP CMship as a gift. He was not projected as a CM candidate in 2012 elections. Peopled voted for SP thinking Mulayam would be the CM, but Mulayam surprised everybody, when he offered CM-ship to his son. Akhilesh is over-estimating his political support among voters.
        Reply
        1. P
          Pavi
          Oct 24, 2016 at 11:31 am
          So that she can use your community like toilet paper!
          Reply
          1. t
            true-bihari
            Oct 25, 2016 at 11:13 am
            Akhilesh may be overestimating his political clout. When it comes to the final moment it is unlikely that Yadavs will desert Mulayam in favour of him. I think BSP is going to form the next government. My prediction: 1st BSP, 2nd SP, 3rd BJP, 4th Congress
            Reply
            1. V
              Vish Ontoor
              Oct 23, 2016 at 11:06 pm
              Congress is nowhere in UP. You writing about Congress in caps doesn't change that. After a SP bust, there are 2 major forces in UP --- BSP and BJP. It will depend on what fraction of Muslim votes move to BSP, and what fraction of OBC votes move to BJP. That will determine the election. And why would BSP form an alliance with SP or any of its potential derivative? SP tried to kill Mayavati in the UP guesthouse. When things are falling apart in SP, there is no way Mayavati is going to get into an agreement with them, specially when it has a good shot at victory on its own. Regarding Congress, it's an untouchable party. It only brings negativity to any alliance. It has nothing to offer in any coalition.
              Reply
              1. A
                Avinash
                Oct 23, 2016 at 9:23 pm
                Muslims are as much of Indians as anyone living, breathing in India. Instead of trying to find a benefactor(s), they should develope a national outlook working for its Vikas. Congress, BSP, SP, RJD, JD in its various apparitions, Mamtas, AAP and the rest have used them and will continue to use them. Instead of getting messed up by their Mullahs, join the mainstream.
                Reply
                1. P
                  P C
                  Oct 24, 2016 at 6:38 am
                  AKHILESH SHOULD NOT BOW DOWN BEFORE HIS FATHER'S WHIM. ALL KNOW HOW HE TRAVELED ALONG LENGTH AND BREADTH OF UTTER PRADESH TIRELESSLY FOR MORE THAN TWO YEARS BEFORE LAST ELECTION. THE GIGANTIC WIN WAS THE RESULT OF HIS HARD WORK. HE HAS STARTED A NEW ERA OF DEVELOPMENTAL POLITICS AND DONE MUCH DEVELOPMENT WORKS. FOR THE INTEREST OF THE NATION HE SHOULD BE THERE AT THE HELM. IF REQUIRED HE SHOULD DISSOLVE THE GOVERNMENT AND LEAD A NEW PARTY TO THE NEXT ELECTION. ELSE ALL GOOD THINGS HE HAS STARTED WILL BE FINISHED UNDER GOONDARAJ.
                  Reply
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