Reverse swing: Why Trump suits Hillary

The billionaire is wrecking the Republican Party — and making things easy for the Democrats.

Written by Tunku Varadarajan | Published:March 13, 2016 12:15 am
Republican Party, Donald Trump, Hillary clinton, barack obama, republican party, obama raj, ISIS, Alhamdulillah, express opinion, sunday opinion Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton and her Republican counterpart Donald Trump (right)

What should Indians make of Donald Trump? In manner and speech, he’s everything we haven’t seen in an American president in eight years of Obama Raj. If we were honest, we’d concede that we’re somewhat grateful to Trump. At least he’s slapped a dollop of excitement onto brooding, wilting America.

After two terms in office, Barack Obama has become a crashing bore — and also a pushover, on the defensive against every country or radical group with which America has conflict. He has presided over a period in which American authority has eroded to startling levels of weakness. China and Russia behave as though Obama doesn’t exist. Iran has bilked him for billions, and ISIS wakes up every morning thanking Allah for Obama. “Alhamdulillah, we love the red lines of which he speaks, which evaporate even as we march forward against the infidel.”

Even Jimmy Carter, the previous gold standard for fecklessness, was more muscular in his foreign actions than Obama. Carter is often remembered with derision for that raid-gone-wrong, in 1979, to rescue American hostages in Iran; but at least he undertook that mission. One cannot imagine Obama doing so.

Trump is an organic reaction to Obama. He’s also an ugly political force, both in terms of what he says aloud and in the reactions he provokes in his largely blue-collar white supporters. There is a racial current in Trumpism. His refrain, “Make America Great Again”, could easily take the subtitle, Make America White Again.

Much criticism of Obama is explained, and warranted, on policy grounds; but a startling amount of the political opposition to him is driven by race, and by the inability of sections of America to be at peace with the idea of a black president. There is a sense of emasculation in the white working class, brought on by America’s seemingly unstoppable economic, moral and military decline; but this sense is compounded in certain quarters by a hatred for Obama that is so vicious that it can only be ascribed to racism. He’s not just an arrogant man: he’s an arrogant BLACK man.

Trump isn’t going to win the presidential election, but he will succeed in grievously damaging the Republican Party for at least a couple of election cycles. Indians are familiar with the concept of a great political party suffering calamitous breakdown. Witness what has happened to the Indian National Congress, now at death’s door because its ruling family has such a lock on leadership that there is no alternative to run the party even when the family’s own princeling is a political dwarf.

The American Republicans’ own leadership crisis has an altogether different cause. Eight years of Obama have caused the party to self-destruct: so maddened by Obama has the party become that it has lost its bearings; a culture of vitriolic non-cooperation with Obama has morphed into one of internal warfare. Factionalism is tearing the Republicans apart.

As a result, Hillary Clinton looks set to be the next US president, which will constitute a moral and political victory for Obama. Trump’s support does not have the demographic breadth that a modern American presidential candidate needs to win. The white vote will fracture between him and Hillary, with women, one presumes, skewing strongly in her favour; but she will steamroll Trump among Blacks, Hispanics and other minorities, groups that he has offended in his campaign.

Let’s just say that Trump will make history in November: He will ensure the election of the first woman in the White House.

The writer is the Virginia Hobbs Carpenter Fellow at Stanford University’s Hoover Institution.

@tunkuv

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  1. A
    Aditya
    Mar 13, 2016 at 1:03 pm
    Tunkuji - you really think Trump or Hillary gives a hoot about what you or any Indian thinks about your "intellectual " comments? Why don't you keep your scathing brilliance to advise Modi on how to run the govt like Congress did for the last 6 decades. That will certainly get the Indian intelligencia all excited about how we Indians are unfit to govern ourselves without the guidance of white foreigners and their brilliant sons and daughters.
    Reply
  2. S
    Seruppu
    Mar 13, 2016 at 6:58 am
    Dei Tunku.... Not writing about hailing kunnaiyaa these days??
    Reply
  3. S
    Singakuttan
    Mar 16, 2016 at 12:03 pm
    Dei porambokku Tunku
    Reply
  4. N
    Nathan
    Mar 16, 2016 at 11:59 pm
    What ever Mr. Trump speaks should not be taken Verbatim. Just to attract the voters he says so many things. If you say that Mr.Trump is pro white then why he would say that he welcomes Indian students studying in U.S to settle in U.S. This is purely political gimmicks. Trump knows that many Republican stalwarts like Mr. Romney do not support him and will definitely strive hard to stall his Republican nomination. This has incited him. Definitely he enjoys enme support and deserves to get nomination and full support from all Republicans.
    Reply
  5. I
    Indian
    Mar 12, 2016 at 10:35 pm
    Hillary's vision is to serve the money machine and the war machine, evidenced by her donor base. She is traditionalist and does n't have any new ideas. Trump is comedy of evil. On the other hand Bernie is and has always been a principled man ... he's been true unto himself, which is the reason, I believe, that he has and does exhibit such incredible stamina and vigor in his campaign for US. But we all know - voting is a method used to determine which politician was most able to brainwash you.
    Reply
  6. H
    Habibeh
    Mar 13, 2016 at 2:06 pm
    Obama is a crashing bore ? Obama is still less boring than Trump! Obama " has presided over a period in which American authority has eroded to startling levels of weakness.." Isn't that a good thing? Why should America continue to be the policeman or the tyrannical ruler of the entire planet? Iran has bilked America for billions? How? It's Iran that has had economic sanctions imposed on it for over 30 years and has suffered enormously as a result. And that's not even Obama's doing..now that some of Iran's ets that were frozen have been released, how is it suddenly America's money? "hatred for Obama that is so vicious that it can only be ascribed to racism. He’s not just an arrogant man: he’s an arrogant BLACK man." Obama is not arrogant, it's Trump who is..nor is he really black..either biologically or even culturally. "Trump isn’t going to win the presidential election, but he will succeed in grievously damaging the Republican Party for at least a couple of election cycles. " This is true..and I also think that was his intention in the first place. Trump is not really a Republican, he's only pretending to be one.
    Reply
  7. K
    Kanu Mistry
    Mar 13, 2016 at 10:28 am
    How can you question Obama for having no spine to venture something like Jimmy Carter can do, that too a foolish failed attempt? Do you remember how Osama Bin Laden was captured and eliminated? Who did this?
    Reply
  8. R
    rkannan
    Mar 13, 2016 at 4:35 am
    A few months ago, nobody expected Trump to be leading the Republican campaign. Now, it appears he will do so even if the party bosses are aligned against him. To ume that the American electorate will not follow the Republican voters is only repeating the previous mistake.
    Reply
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