How China gained from Partition

Geopolitical legacies of the division remain the biggest drag on India’s global aspirations

Written by C. Raja Mohan | Updated: August 22, 2017 7:40 am
Doklam standoff, India China, India China standoff, China, China borders, China GDP, Partition, Indian Express China was not only good at exploiting the great power conflicts to its own benefit, its leaders also clearly saw the strategic implications of Partition. (Representational Image)

The occasional reflections on the tragedies of Partition rarely include the consideration of its geopolitical consequences. The sundering of the political space in the Subcontinent gets a lot less attention in the narratives of independent India’s international relations than the sentimental accounts of Delhi’s non-alignment and moralpolitik.

Even today, it is not easy for the Indian elites to recognise that the geopolitical legacies of Partition remain the biggest drag on India’s larger global aspirations. None of it more important than the fact that China has turned out to be the biggest long-term beneficiary from the division of the Subcontinent.

Nothing illustrates the different geopolitical evolution of India and China since the mid 20th century than the simple question of territorial consolidation. Consider the following: India was divided in 1947 and China was united in 1949. The Subcontinent’s great partition locked the successor states — India and Pakistan — in a perennial conflict. China overcame an era of fragmentation to come together as a strong nation.

If the British Raj emerged as a powerful state by generating a measure of political and administrative coherence to the Subcontinent, its dissolution accompanied by division resulted in the strategic diminution of its successor states, India and Pakistan.

The combination of British power and the massive resources of an undivided Subcontinent created what came to be known as the “India Centre” that dominated the geopolitics of Asia and the Indian Ocean. Indian capital and labour, its armies and administrative systems were central to political stability, economic globalisation and the spread of modernising ideologies in the eastern hemisphere.

Before Partition, India’s energies — economic and military — radiated outwards. After Partition, the Subcontinent’s energies turned inward in defence of the new political borders. If the Anglos are widely seen as the main villains behind Partition — the British for their divide and rule tactics and the American integration of Pakistan into the Cold War politics — it is hard to see how the West benefited from Partition.

The Anglo-American initiatives to replace the India Centre with such new regional security structures as SEATO and CENTO flopped. For there was no real possibility of effective regional security without the participation of India. The efforts by Washington and London to mediate between India and Pakistan in order to generate a more coherent bastion against international communism, for example in the wake of the 1962 war between India and China, did not succeed either.

To make matters even more interesting, the communist giants, Russia and China fell apart at the turn of the 1960s and opened the door for the American strategic partnership with China that would contribute enormously to Beijing’s rise as a great power. China was not only good at exploiting the great power conflicts to its own benefit, its leaders also clearly saw the strategic implications of Partition. They also saw the opportunities to probe independent India’s limitations in sustaining primacy in the Subcontinent and the Indian Ocean that it had inherited from the Raj.

In the early decades after Partition, China seemed relatively marginal to South Asian geopolitics. India’s energies were focused on opposing the Anglo-American co-option of Pakistan into the Cold War alliance system and the supply of Western arms to the Pakistan military. India bet that it could manage the inherent contradictions with China through a conscious befriending of Beijing. But the outcomes abound in paradoxes.

Given the anti-Communist orientation of CENTO and SEATO, you would have thought China would view Pakistan with suspicion and embrace an India that chose to remain non-aligned and refused to support the Cold War alliances. China, however, found it hard to reciprocate India’s love — wrapped in the slogans of Panchsheel and Asian solidarity against Western imperialism. Instead Beijing built an all-weather partnership with Rawalpindi that would grow from strength to strength and remain the one constant feature of the Subcontinent’s international politics.

If India could not stop seeing China through an ideological prism even after 1962, Beijing consistently viewed Rawalpindi through a geopolitical lens. For one, the Chinese leaders saw no real contradictions with Pakistan, despite its pro-Western orientation. Beijing also rightly assessed that ideological slogans are not adequate to overcome major disputes over territorial sovereignty with Delhi.

Even more important, China understood that strong support to Pakistan was a critical element in limiting any future challenges from India. Hence the bilateral deal with Pakistan on Kashmir in the early 1960s, nuclear cooperation in the 1970s and 1980s following India’s first nuclear test in 1974, the transfer of missile technology in the 1990s, and the effective integration of Pakistan’s structures into China’s own military planning on defence production, interoperability and power projection over the last two decades.

For China, Partition is a gift that continues to give. Meanwhile, its growing economic resources, military capabilities and political influence have dramatically improved Beijing’s ability to exploit India’s difficulties with its smaller neighbours as well. Whether it is trade and investment, creation of infrastructure or the supply of armaments, it is China the looms large over the Subcontinent. After years trying to limit Western influences in its neighbourhood, India now finds halting China’s penetration of the Subcontinent will need a lot more political will and strategic purpose.

The writer is director, Carnegie India, Delhi, and contributing editor on foreign affairs for ‘The Indian Express’

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  1. M
    Modi
    Aug 24, 2017 at 9:34 am
    War is money fight,India will be defeated no doubt,Analysis is as follows: The war in Iraq, The U.S. spent 3 trillion dollar(converted to the current price),cost 30 billion dollar per day on average, include:weapons and ammunition, oil and other supplies,transportation and warehousing, medical and surgical fee,s-a-l-aries of soldiers and subsidy of death and disability... etc., Even if the War between China and India,Scale only one-third of Iraq war,At least cost 10 billion dollar per day, so the Indian official also said that India ammunition support only 10 days, China can support 100 days,because China's actual military spending is 5 times that for India, In addition China's weapons and ammunition can do 100 percent self-produced, however Indian arms and ammunition are 90 percent imported,Once India expended all weapons and ammunition , leaving more soldiers are useless, only equivalent the prey of no weapons,In addition,the number of Chinese troops is 1.8 times that of India.
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    1. asit guin
      Aug 24, 2017 at 7:00 pm
      Be happy with this old news of July 5, 2017. INDIA signed a loan agreement with the China-backed Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, AIIB, for a loan of US$329 million to improve rural road connectivity in the western state of Gujarat, officials said Sa ay. The loan and project agreements for AIIB lending of US$329 million for Gujarat rural roads project have been signed between the government of India, government of Gujarat and the AIIB in New Delhi: a finance ministry official said. The objective of the project is to improve the rural road connectivity and accessibility in rural areas of Gujarat. The project would benefit 8 million people in the state by providing all weather road connectivity to 1,060 villages in 33 districts, officials said. The project would construct and upgrade non-planned roads besides upgrading of planned roads.
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    2. M
      Modi
      Aug 23, 2017 at 6:32 am
      China fight India like the boxing champion to fight disabled men, China has 2.3 million troops exceed 1.8 times India, China's military spending is 4 times that of India, In 1945 the Chinese Army to defeat the Japanese 6 million troops,in 1949 to defeat the Chinese Kuomintang 8 million Army, In 1952 the Korean War,China dispatched 3200 thousand troops, defeating the 16 countries combined total 1200 thousand troops (including the USA military 480 thousand) , In 1962 defeated India's 80,000 troops,in 1967 defeated the Indian army again, In 1969 China despatch 1 million troops and nuclear missile forces (in 1964 China exploded the first nuclear bomb) ,in the China with Soviet Union border,defeated the Soviet army (Treasure Island battle, the result is the Treasure island cession to China), 1979 defeat Vietnam's 500,000 troops (destroyed 1.08 million rooms, destroyed 10,000 factories, Vietnam's economic stagnation for 30 years), in 1988 again defeated the Vietnam's army (South China Sea)
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      1. ashish bagade
        Aug 23, 2017 at 6:09 am
        Its basically a CIVILIZATIONAL battle...a thought battle, a process battle. What one culture thinks OKAY other is not OKAY. There are basically 4 broader civilizations/thought process left. Western(Judeo-Christian), Islamic, Chinese and Indian. Out of these 4, 3(u know which) are VERY VERY clear and EXCLUSIVE in terms of what they want and are very unambiguous. The one left(Indian) is just very very Unclear, ambiguous, flippant, ungrounded, not rooted to the core. Can SWAY alot here and there and unfortunaltely called as SWING state, why because doesn't have any ideology of its own other than sacred territory. We need to develop a positive narrative for ourselves and our great nation. The sober start would be that contractors who gets contracts for ROADS INSIIDE THE CITY (not expressways) show their commitment and PLEASE build Good Roads ATLEAST !!
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        1. M
          Modi
          Aug 23, 2017 at 6:05 am
          China fight India like the boxing champion to fight disabled men, China has 2.3 million troops exceed 1.8 times India, China's military spending is 4 times that of India, In 1945 the Chinese Army to defeat the Japanese 6 million troops,in 1949 to defeat the Chinese Kuomintang 8 million Army, In 1952 the Korean War,China dispatched 3200 thousand troops, defeating the 16 countries combined total 1200 thousand troops (including the USA military 480 thousand) , In 1962 defeated India's 80,000 troops,in 1967 defeated the Indian army again, In 1969 China despatch 1 million troops and nuclear missile forces (in 1964 China exploded the first nuclear bomb) ,in the China with Soviet Union border,defeated the Soviet army (Treasure Island battle, the result is the Treasure island cession to China), 1979 defeat Vietnam's 500,000 troops (destroyed 1.08 million rooms, destroyed 10,000 factories, Vietnam's economic stagnation for 30 years), in 1988 again defeated the Vietnam's army (South China Sea)
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          1. M
            Modi
            Aug 23, 2017 at 6:05 am
            China fight India like the boxing champion to fight disabled men, China has 2.3 million troops exceed 1.8 times India, China's military spending is 4 times that of India, In 1945 the Chinese Army to defeat the Japanese 6 million troops,in 1949 to defeat the Chinese Kuomintang 8 million Army, In 1952 the Korean War,China dispatched 3200 thousand troops, defeating the 16 countries combined total 1200 thousand troops (including the USA military 480 thousand) , In 1962 defeated India's 80,000 troops,in 1967 defeated the Indian army again, In 1969 China despatch 1 million troops and nuclear missile forces (in 1964 China exploded the first nuclear bomb) ,in the China with Soviet Union border,defeated the Soviet army (Treasure Island battle, the result is the Treasure island cession to China), 1979 defeat Vietnam's 500,000 troops (destroyed 1.08 million rooms, destroyed 10,000 factories, Vietnam's economic stagnation for 30 years), in 1988 again defeated the Vietnam's army (South China Sea)
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