India can expect more terror attacks like the Mumbai carnage from Pakistan-based terrorist groups with high body counts and symbolic targets in an escalating terror campaign in South Asia,a study by a leading US think tank has warned.
India will continue to face a serious jihadi threat from Pakistan-based terrorist groups,and neither Indian nor US policy is likely to reduce that threat in the near future, said Angel Rabasa,lead author of the study and a senior political scientist with RAND Corporation,a non-profit research organisation.
Other extremist groups in Pakistan will likely find inspiration in the Mumbai attacks,and we can expect more attacks with high body counts and symbolic targets. The Mumbai terrorist attacks suggest the possibility of a rise of a strategic terrorist culture, the study said.
The RAND study identifies the operational and tactical features of the attack,evaluates the response of Indian security forces,and analyses the implications for India,Pakistan and the United States.
The report acknowledged both India and Pakistan had nuclear weapons,making any military action a dangerous course,but warned if India did not respond,that would signal a lack of Indian resolve or capability.
The defining characteristic of the Mumbai attack,and what makes it so alarming,is not just the ruthless killing,but the meticulous planning and preparation that went into the operation, said Brian Michael Jenkins,terror expert and senior advisor at RAND.