If polls held now,UPA will lose 92 seats: Survey

Regional parties,not NDA,projected as biggest gainer

Written by Express News Service | New Delhi | Published: July 30, 2013 1:46 am

In a grim projection of UPA’s electoral prospects for next general elections,an opinion poll conducted by Times Now-C Voter-India TV on Monday projected the ruling coalition losing 92 Lok Sabha seats if elections are held today. The main opposition NDA,however,is not projected to be the biggest beneficiary of the UPA’s slide with regional parties projected to corner the largest chunk.

The NDA has been projected to gain only 24 seats to take its total tally to 156 up from 132 it won in 2009 LS elections. The national poll projections have been made based on the responses from about 13,000 randomly selected respondents surveyed from July 18 to 24.

Partywise,the projections suggest a loss of 87 seats for the Congress,and indicated that the BJP will gain only 15 seats from its 116 LS seats won last elections.

The projections pegs the BJP as the single largest party with 131 seats with the Congress trailing behind with 119 as against their 2009 tallies of 116 and 206 seats,respectively.

The single largest gainer over 2009 LS elections is projected to be Jayalalithaa’s AIADMK which has been projected to gain 20 seats single handedly with 29 in its kitty over nine seats it won last elections. The YSR Congress Party is slated to win 14 seats. The TRS,the prime force behind the Telangana statehood demand,is slated to gain massively with a projection to win 11 LS seats as against two it won last elections.

In politically crucial UP,the projections suggest a loss of 16 seats to Congress which had won 21 in 2009 with Mulayam Singh Yadav’s SP projected to gain 10 seats and Mayawati’s BSP slated to gain seven seats over their last performance. SP had won 23 and BSP 20 seats last elections.

The BJP-JD(U) split in Bihar appears to be helping Lalu Prasad’s RJD which is projected to win 12 seats as against four in 2009. Consequently,Nitish Kumar’s JD(U) is likely to suffer a loss of nine seats with a projection to win 11 seats as against 20 it won in Bihar in alliance with the BJP.

While Mamata Banerjee-led TMC appears to be holding its ground with a projection to win 22 seats as against 19 it won last elections,Naveen Patnaik-led BJD is projected to slip marginally with 12 seats as against 14 it won last elections.

In vote performance terms,the survey indicated nine per cent dip for the UPA

from 37 per cent it polled in 2009 elections and a gain of six per cent for the NDA which garnered 25 per cent votes last time.

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