If the results of the just-concluded Delhi Assembly elections are any indicator of the prospects of political parties in the Lok Sabha elections next year,the Congress may lose all seven seats from Delhi.
While the Arvind Kejriwal-led Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) has polled the most votes in the Assembly segments in two of these Lok Sabha constituencies,the BJP seems to have the upper hand in the remaining five seats.
The 70 Assembly segments in Delhi constitute seven Lok Sabha seats,with each Lok Sabha constituency comprising 10 Assembly segments.
According to votes polled by the BJP,AAP and Congress across all 10 Assembly segments in each Lok Sabha constituency,the AAP is in first place in Chandni Chowk and New Delhi Lok Sabha constituencies. While Chandni Chowk is currently represented by Law Minister Kapil Sibal,the New Delhi MP is Ajay Maken,head of the Congresss communications department.
In the Assembly segments in the remaining five Lok Sabha seats North-East Delhi (represented by Delhi PCC chief J P Agarwal),East Delhi (Sheila Dikshits son Sandeep Dikshit),North-West Delhi (Union Minister Krishna Tirath),West Delhi (Mahabal Mishra) and South Delhi (Ramesh Kumar) the BJP has garnered the most votes.
The Congress is not even in second place in any of these constituencies. The only solace for the Congress is that it has come a close third in North-East Delhi (behind AAP by 3,191 votes) and East Delhi (behind AAP by 4,410 votes) Lok Sabha constituencies.
While the AAP is ahead of the BJP in Chandni Chowk area by less than 7,000 votes,it has a lead of over 40,000 votes in New Delhi. The BJP,on the other hand,enjoys a wider margin from 38,000 votes in East Delhi to over 1.5 lakh votes in North West Delhi.
While the Lok Sabha elections may differ from the Assembly elections in terms of poll issues and voting trends,the results can be seen as a pointer,particularly since the 2014 elections are set to be held less than six months later.