Lalu-Nitish grand alliance seems to be working, BJP has task cut out for now

Lalu and Nitish are now hard-pressed to find out common electoral agenda.

Written by Santosh Singh | Patna | Published:August 25, 2014 2:23 pm
Lalu and Nitish are now hard-pressed to find out common electoral agenda.(Source: Express Photo by Prashant Ravi) Lalu and Nitish are now hard-pressed to find out common electoral agenda.(Source: Express Photo by Prashant Ravi)

Bihar’s two stalwarts – Lalu Prasad and Nitish Kumar, may well have taken a sigh of relief with Assembly bypoll results for 10 seats going in their favour, more so far pointers of their social combinations (read caste calculations) working. But it is too early to go ga-ga over it.

Just as BJP faces onerous task of maintaining momentum of Narendra Modi factor, Lalu and Nitish are now hard-pressed to find out common electoral agenda, rather than chhota bhai and bada bhai combine to club large part of OBC-dalit-EBC votes.. Even though it is 6:4 in grand alliance favour, good victory margins and narrow loss margins for the alliance may be heatening for Lalu-Nitish combination. Congress has also contributed to it by wresting Bhagalpur seat from BJP.

The most remarkable thing about the bypoll results is BJP winning only Mohania and Narkatiaganj seats by a fair margin and trouncing either JD (U) or Congress candidates. BJP has not been able to defeat its principal rivals for years, RJD, on just one seat, that too by margin of over 500 votes. On the contrary, RJD has trounced BJP with decisive margin at prestigious Chhapra and Mohiuddinagar seats, both won by BJP in last elections. BJP also faced major embarrassment as it lost its Bhagalpur seat to Congress by a good margin. BJP had been winning this seat for the last 15 years.

RJD and JD (U) camp is surely upbeat with giving each other good winning conversion with transfer of votes mutually. Chhapra, where BJP’s Rajiv Pratap Rudy had got about 30,000 votes lead in the Assembly segment in last Lok Sabha elections, saw emergence of RJD because of MYR (Muslim-Yadav-Rajput) consolidation against BJP’s weak candidate Kanhaiya Singh, whose votes were poached on by party rebel and independent candidate CN Gupta.

BJP that banked too much on EBC factor and getting votes of 18-30 age group youths across castelines has task cut out now. It cannot be just “your caste groups versus our caste groups” in fight with Lalu and Nitish but with some out of box ideas on development and fulfilling some of “achche din” promises.

As for Nitish Kumar, the man who had taken on Narendra Modi, it is a sort of consolation win. The 2015 Assembly elections could be fought on altogether different agenda and amidst high pitched battles with top BJP leaders including PM Narendra Modi, who can dole out packages and promises to Bihar. For Nitish, the challenge is to come out of “bada bhai” shadow and keep telling people about his development model, rather than allowing Lalu to steal the show. The Assembly bypolls may well have won but the race has just begun for Nitish and Lalu, who will also have to tell people who will be the CM candidate of the grand alliance.

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  1. K
    KRISHNASWAMY VENKATASUBRAMANIA
    Aug 25, 2014 at 12:43 pm
    OUr voters have to come out of this caste based voting and vote on the basis of development work and good and clean administration.Whether it is congress or BJP should not matter if proper corruption free administration.Nitish might console himself for the turnaround but he has definitely gone down in the ratings of citizens who are capable of rational thinking.He will feel for himself how lalu will him in the embly elections.He might have won the war but he has lost the battle.
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    1. G
      George Cv
      Aug 25, 2014 at 10:36 am
      BJP will now send their trump card amit shah to bihar. Look out for trouble similar to what is happening in UP.
      Reply
      1. D
        Dr. Sonali
        Aug 25, 2014 at 12:36 pm
        An early warning for BJP. Please do not take voters for granted.
        Reply
        1. A
          Amit
          Aug 25, 2014 at 5:11 pm
          I am not a Nitish or Lalu fan.... but u cannot ill about BIHAR
          Reply
          1. Y
            Yogi
            Aug 26, 2014 at 7:01 am
            By elections are generally candidate-centric and do not reflect the true mood of the electorate. Once the state reaches the stage of embly elections, the equations will all change. people will want to vote for a party that has vision, integrity and the ability to work with the Centre to get development work done. And that would mean the BJP and its allies ... nobody else. The Nitishes and Laloos will be left with their casteist and communalist crumbs.
            Reply
            1. Y
              Yogi
              Aug 26, 2014 at 7:15 am
              If at all anybody has taken the voter for granted it has been the Congress and its equally corrupt allies. On the other hand the BJP, and especially Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been at pains to talk about every single step that he has taken, is taking and also planning to take. He is continuously engaged in taking not just his party and allies along, but also the oppostion parties, some of whom have no alternate agenda other than to constantly criticise what he is doing. No other PM, in recent times, has spoken directly to the electorate from the Red Fort, as Narendra Modi did in Aug 15th this year. No doubt he has inherited an administration in shambles and a treasury that is completely bare, courtesy those who ruled for the past so many years. Instead of making snide remarks it would be so much better if he is supported in his endeavour to rid this country off the ills of the past 68 years.
              Reply
              1. Y
                Yogi
                Aug 26, 2014 at 7:02 am
                Well said Rajeev!
                Reply
                1. O
                  OpinionatedOrator
                  Aug 25, 2014 at 11:46 am
                  BJP is busy creating communal hatred while Lalu and Nitish are bringing them together
                  Reply
                  1. J
                    Jayanti lal
                    Aug 25, 2014 at 4:33 pm
                    Why bye poll results of Madhya Pradesh is not discussed in Media? Is it because it is BJP ruled states. Only conclusions of these results is ruling parties at state level have won these bye elections. There is no justification to come to the conclusion that it return of Lalu, and Nitish. Consider other results also.
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                    1. K
                      Krishnan
                      Aug 26, 2014 at 6:27 am
                      Cry for another 5 years. A temporary smile. Your Fonia will be forgotten by people soon.
                      Reply
                      1. N
                        Namasivayam.N
                        Aug 26, 2014 at 6:15 am
                        The embly bye-polls going in favour of the ruling dispensation is a general trend seen in most of the states, as the election is restricted to a few seats making things easier to have a sharper focus with the help of the entire state machinery. Regarding Bihar, it is one of the states where people are highly cost conscious. And second, there is always the election arithmetic which plays a major role. So, this election being held very close to the parliamentary election, the results need not be taken as a reflection of the performance of NAMO's govt. It generally takes 6 months to one year for the performance to sink in the minds of the people. To that extent there is no need for the BJP to worry about. However, it has to tie up the loose ends and prepare itself from now on for the embly elections next year.
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                        1. M
                          mhddxb
                          Aug 25, 2014 at 11:43 am
                          there also Amit sha required for B J P to split the communities by communal riots.
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                          1. R
                            Rajeev balakrishna
                            Aug 25, 2014 at 12:57 pm
                            so when the ruling party and opposition party joins hand together, when first, third and fourth joins hand to defeat a party which is currently the second in bihar embly!!! as per the arithmetic, 2014 parliament elections, BJP got 29.4%, RJD-20.1%, JDU-15.8%, Congis-8.4%, that means the sickular group had 44.3% and BJP had 29.4% ONLY! the sickular group should had an easy walkover! yet BJP won 4 out of 10! these pity @paidjournos and #newstraders are rejoicing for this feat!!
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                            1. R
                              Rajeev balakrishna
                              Aug 25, 2014 at 12:57 pm
                              · it is worth remembering what happened in 2009, when the NDA (which consisted of JD(U) and BJP at the time) was able to win only five out of the 18 embly seats which had by-elections, down from a tally of 12. But by the time the 2010 embly elections came around, the NDA comprehensively trounced the opposition. What this means is that by-elections, at least in Bihar, are not necessarily a good barometer for gauging underlying political trends across the state.
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                                Aam admi
                                Aug 25, 2014 at 9:46 am
                                Bjp won 4 seats. Bypoll is not main election. Bjp will rule bihar.
                                Reply
                                1. R
                                  RC
                                  Aug 25, 2014 at 9:43 am
                                  Let Bihar be there as it is...bottom of the muck...disgusting...
                                  Reply
                                  1. R
                                    Raghu
                                    Aug 25, 2014 at 4:24 pm
                                    This is a good result for BJP. If BJP had won say 7 plus seats, that would have tied Lalu and Nitish in a tighter embrace. Now watch the fun as the two fight each other for superiority over the other. Nitish's condition is the worst of the lot!
                                    Reply
                                    1. T
                                      Tapan Kumar
                                      Aug 25, 2014 at 1:08 pm
                                      what shame !!! Cast still matters seems being only factor in Bihar !!! Development ? No way. We,Biharis,along with rest of India, suffered 67 years and remaining at the bottom and still like that way only. Let there be fodder scam or any other scam which deprive us, the Biharis, "But" our leaders must be Rich. We Biharis do not want to experiment and try our Luck by giving others oppurtunity to uplift us. We are happy with our condition and do not want any improvement for our lot.
                                      Reply
                                      1. K
                                        K G
                                        Aug 25, 2014 at 1:27 pm
                                        Well by-poll results are totally unreliable. Normally for by-polls people tend to vote for the inbent. There were instances where by polls held just before next general embly elections people voted in favor of ruling party in by polls, but voted for opposition party in shortly following general embly election. But again this is not a norm. That is why I mentioned in the beginning that the trend is unreliable.
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                                        1. C
                                          Citizen
                                          Aug 25, 2014 at 12:05 pm
                                          These guys can dump their philosophies and aims for the sake of power pelf just to save themselves from the long hand of law. It is for the other party to show that they are are for progress by working hard and showing the real time results for the citizens/nation. It is for the voters to select and elect clean guys for their own future. Jaihind
                                          Reply
                                          1. A
                                            Akash
                                            Aug 26, 2014 at 2:36 am
                                            BJP also got involved in Vote Bank Politics and instead of removing subsidy from Haj, they are now talking about making it more easy and include more quota. What a shame? I can also still see Vadra is still enjoying exemptions from Airport, Fake hi family is also enjoying SPG Security, Anti-Hindu and Anti-National people like Diggy, Shinde, Khurshid, Khujliwal, Tiwari and also including Italian Mafias (Sonia Maino, Bianca and Raul Vince).All schemes started by UPA are still going on and even NDA supporting them instead of abolishing them from day one (like NREGA, Food Security etc.). They have even Veto for these policies in WTO. Voting against Israel in UNO was also wrong step.Article 370 should also be abolished form day one.Country is not going anywhere. Other things can be started earlier but above things should have been given highest priority. That could have given clear message to the people that Modi is doing what he was saying beforeGeneral Election.I have always mentioned that Muslim will never vote for BJP and g victory in UP and Bihar gave illusion to BJP that they got good number of Muslims votes also. As long as BJP will fight any election, all Muslim will be united and vote against them. In general election, it was Hindu who also united and voted for BJP and that only gave them clear majority that even BJP did not think about that.After coming into power, they started Muslim appeat and Hindu voter did not partite which gave them this kind of defeat.I even read that in Kerala, Hindus are not allowed to apply for jobs. Muslims objects Vande Mataram on Independence Day and Schools accepted and did not play or sing Vande Mataram. Why no action taken against the people and also against the schools. These people should be taught a lesson that no one object these in future.Overall, Modi Govt. is failed completely. I am not seeing coming again in 2019 anyway. The have to complete the above list fist then only think about anything else.
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