By sealing deal with the Left, has Jayalalithaa sealed Modi’s fate?

Congress and BJP might not agree, but a third front is definitely falling into place.

Written by Wali Ahmad | New Delhi | Updated: April 16, 2014 5:29 pm
Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi with his Tamil Nadu counterpart J Jayalalithaa in an earlier photo. Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi with his Tamil Nadu counterpart J Jayalalithaa in an earlier photo.

When Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi came back to power for the third consecutive term in the state, Tamil Nadu Chief Minister J Jayalalithaa was the star attraction at his swearing-in ceremony. The picture of Jaya presenting a bouquet to her ‘friend’ Modi became a talking point and many thought this bonhomie would very much define the constituents of the National Democratic Alliance in 2014. But a year in politics is a long time and it seems it was long enough for Amma to change her mind.

In a surprise move, the AIADMK has decided to forge an alliance with the Left – CPI and CPM, setting the stage for a possible Third Front ahead of the Lok Sabha elections. Though the BJP and the Congress are still in denial, a third force is taking shape, slowly and gradually.

With 39 Lok Sabha seats in Tamil Nadu, Jaya has the potential of throwing a spanner in Modi’s PM ambition. If at all she goes for this juggernaut, the future third front will have to bury differences to reach the magical figure of 272. Bihar Chief Minister Nitish Kumar has already drawn first blood by ending a 17-year alliance with the BJP. Odisha’s Naveen Patnaik, once an NDA partner, is also a potential third front partner.

Historically, the Left parties had been the cog in the giant third front wheel. But, with its fortunes hitting rock bottom in the last election and a complete washout in its bastion West Bengal, it is unlikely that the CPM, CPI will have the same leverage of maneuvering the course of a third front. More so because Mamata Banerjee is fighting a ‘bitter Left legacy’ in West Bengal. And it will be asking for too much from her to come along with the Left parties. The SP and the BSP – the two big regional players and political opportunists – might just end up being in this alliance.

But what happens when these splinter groups come together? They will certainly push their personal agenda. Moreover, most of these regional satraps nurture the ambition of becoming the prime minister. If the idea of a third front does become a reality, the equation at the Centre might get changed dramatically. With the election season just hotting up, change in loyalties and formation of new alliances are only going to be the norm.

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  1. B
    BigB
    Feb 3, 2014 at 5:39 pm
    It's an alliance which comes in every election, leaves faster than that. Nobody cares or even notices. The author is actually in denial.
    Reply
    1. V
      Vish
      Feb 3, 2014 at 12:24 pm
      Just noticed, author is someone named Wali something.
      Reply
      1. V
        Vish
        Feb 3, 2014 at 12:24 pm
        Just noticed, author is someone named Wali something.
        Reply
        1. S
          soulmind
          Feb 3, 2014 at 6:06 pm
          people should vote for india not for regional parties otherwise everyone will be losers
          Reply
          1. B
            Bolefatafat
            Feb 3, 2014 at 1:29 pm
            When rainy season commences croaking of frogs and chirpings of muludes of birds and insects becomes a matter of common knowledge!!On the eve of the election with too many in the fray,a similar situation is created! Since 2009 the number of fronts has leap frogged!There were two prinl coalitions and two more fronts and compeion from many small parties and individuals!The credit goes to the voters, who gave one party sufficient support and caused the boats of many to sink! It is said that "variety is the e of life"! So this year we have too many in the fray with strangest of bedfellows! The "oldies" (satraps of states )have come forward to form a Front, each hoping against hope that others would offer the Crown to him/her only!All politicians think that the voters have mortgaged thei thinking totheir leaders and so they could take them on a ride!The voterrealises hi power of getting the mark onhis finge goes towards the EVM to press one button only to jack up his favourite only! Thus, when results are announced the rightful one wins!
            Reply
            1. B
              Bolefatafat
              Feb 3, 2014 at 1:29 pm
              When rainy season commences croaking of frogs and chirpings of muludes of birds and insects becomes a matter of common knowledge!!On the eve of the election with too many in the fray,a similar situation is created! Since 2009 the number of fronts has leap frogged!There were two prinl coalitions and two more fronts and compeion from many small parties and individuals!The credit goes to the voters, who gave one party sufficient support and caused the boats of many to sink! It is said that "variety is the e of life"! So this year we have too many in the fray with strangest of bedfellows! The "oldies" (satraps of states )have come forward to form a Front, each hoping against hope that others would offer the Crown to him/her only!All politicians think that the voters have mortgaged thei thinking totheir leaders and so they could take them on a ride!The voterrealises hi power of getting the mark onhis finge goes towards the EVM to press one button only to jack up his favourite only! Thus, when results are announced the rightful one wins!
              Reply
              1. A
                Amit Sood
                Feb 3, 2014 at 12:08 pm
                Indian politics is the best example of opportunism. Unfortunate for the nation, as observed in the past too, these relationships do not last long, because of the clash between self centered aspirations.
                Reply
                1. A
                  Amit Sood
                  Feb 3, 2014 at 12:08 pm
                  Indian politics is the best example of opportunism. Unfortunate for the nation, as observed in the past too, these relationships do not last long, because of the clash between self centered aspirations.
                  Reply
                  1. H
                    Humane Voice
                    Feb 3, 2014 at 12:30 pm
                    There is nothing called sealing of Modi's fate, this is just a pre-poll alliance to bargain more by sitting on fence of third front and not on ideology or commitment of no alliance either with BJP or Congress at any cost or to remain intact even in days of post pollThere are many ways of supporting party close to power by opposing publicly and supporting privately like chameleons Mulayam Singh's SP and Mayawati's BSP support to UPA. In Indian democracy nothing is impossible.
                    Reply
                    1. H
                      Humane Voice
                      Feb 3, 2014 at 12:30 pm
                      There is nothing called sealing of Modi's fate, this is just a pre-poll alliance to bargain more by sitting on fence of third front and not on ideology or commitment of no alliance either with BJP or Congress at any cost or to remain intact even in days of post pollThere are many ways of supporting party close to power by opposing publicly and supporting privately like chameleons Mulayam Singh's SP and Mayawati's BSP support to UPA. In Indian democracy nothing is impossible.
                      Reply
                      1. N
                        namba madayangla
                        Feb 3, 2014 at 10:38 am
                        It is actually worse for Congress than BJP
                        Reply
                        1. K
                          kisan
                          Feb 3, 2014 at 7:42 pm
                          "At pune on saay Feku Said that China spends 20% ofit's GDP on Education. While reality is China's public expenditures oneducation reached 4 % of its GDP in 2012, a target set almost 20 yearsago.".
                          Reply
                          1. K
                            kisan
                            Feb 3, 2014 at 7:42 pm
                            "At pune on saay Feku Said that China spends 20% ofit's GDP on Education. While reality is China's public expenditures oneducation reached 4 % of its GDP in 2012, a target set almost 20 yearsago.".
                            Reply
                            1. K
                              kisan
                              Feb 3, 2014 at 7:40 pm
                              "Biggest fool of the world addressing to the peoples tomake them fool!".
                              Reply
                              1. K
                                kisan
                                Feb 3, 2014 at 7:40 pm
                                "Biggest fool of the world addressing to the peoples tomake them fool!".
                                Reply
                                1. K
                                  kisan
                                  Feb 3, 2014 at 7:42 pm
                                  "Gujarat govt Appealing againstthe death penality is a clear indication that gujarat govt and modi has a bigrole in the gujarat riots".
                                  Reply
                                  1. K
                                    kisan
                                    Feb 3, 2014 at 7:39 pm
                                    "He works for his own goals and not for the goals ofINDIA, all indians should get aware of it.. ".
                                    Reply
                                    1. K
                                      kisan
                                      Feb 3, 2014 at 7:39 pm
                                      "He works for his own goals and not for the goals ofINDIA, all indians should get aware of it.. ".
                                      Reply
                                      1. K
                                        kisan
                                        Feb 3, 2014 at 7:26 pm
                                        "How Poor and Comical fellow, is this Muddi! (1) Having LOST Miserably, in front of Secular, Real Leader, Wise, Honest, Charismatic, Sincere Rahul hi, the Joker (FEKU) is NOW USING NRI GUJJU SHOULDERS TO CRY!"
                                        Reply
                                        1. K
                                          kisan
                                          Feb 3, 2014 at 7:26 pm
                                          "How Poor and Comical fellow, is this Muddi! (1) Having LOST Miserably, in front of Secular, Real Leader, Wise, Honest, Charismatic, Sincere Rahul hi, the Joker (FEKU) is NOW USING NRI GUJJU SHOULDERS TO CRY!"
                                          Reply
                                          1. K
                                            kisan
                                            Feb 3, 2014 at 7:26 pm
                                            "Kannadigas 'Threw' him away - for trying to Teach them 'Gujarat's Model of FAKE Development and Corruption'!".
                                            Reply
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