77% Muslims, 57% Sikhs voted AAP

Delhi’s Muslims, 12 per cent of the city’s population, have traditionally voted for the Congress.

New Delhi | Updated: February 12, 2015 8:47 am

By Shreyas Sardesai

The religious minorities of Delhi have emerged the most ardent supporters of the Aam Aadmi Party. Muslims and Sikhs, who had largely stayed away from the AAP in 2013 thus denying it a majority, voted massively for it this time.
muslim-body   sikh
Delhi’s Muslims, 12 per cent of the city’s population, have traditionally voted for the Congress. In fact, their support in 2013 had proved the party’s only consolation in the face of a drubbing — four of its 8 MLAs were Muslims from Muslim-dominated seats.

It can now be argued that the Congress was able to hold on to its Muslim support in 2013 not due to any great affection for it among the community, but because Muslims were unsure whether the AAP was in a position to defeat the BJP. Once they saw the winning capability of the AAP, they shifted in considerable numbers in the 2014 Lok Sabha election. However, the shift was hesitant as 56 per cent of Muslims voted for the AAP and 39 per cent for the Congress.

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In this election, though, Muslims threw almost their entire weight behind AAP with nearly four of every five of them voting for it to ensure the BJP’s loss. The Trilokpuri riots, the Sangh Parivar’s reconversion campaign, and provocative speeches by BJP leaders seem to have strengthened the resolve of Muslims to defeat the BJP, with only 2 per cent of them voting for the party.

The level of Muslim support received by AAP — 77 percent — is unprecedented in Delhi’s recent electoral history and has resulted in the AAP winning 9 of the 10 seats where Muslims are over 30 per cent of the population. Most of these victories are by massive margins. In Okhla for instance, AAP’s Amanatullah Khan won by nearly 65,000 votes. Mustafabad is the only “Muslim seat” where the Congress finished ahead of the AAP; a division of votes saw the BJP winning.

Sikhs, 4 per cent of Delhi’s population, also rallied behind AAP — 57 per cent, 30 points higher since 2013. The AAP won all five Sikh-concentrated seats: Tilak Nagar, Hari Nagar, Rajouri Garden, Shahadra, Kalkaji. The Modi government’s decision to give additional compensation to the families of Sikhs killed in the 1984 riots could not help the BJP retain its traditional Sikh base; this survey shows 54 per cent Sikhs viewed the announcement as merely a vote-catching ploy.

Shreyas Sardesai is Research Associate at Lokniti-CSDS

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  1. B
    bonku
    Feb 12, 2015 at 11:22 am
    AAP is fast becoming a credible alternative for educated, rational Muslims and other religious minorities. India must integrate such religious minorities in national mainstream without any precondition and fear of violence or urance of protection. It will help India to counter religion based terrorism and spread of extreme right groups among religious minorities.
    Reply
  2. S
    santosh satpathy
    Feb 12, 2015 at 1:16 pm
    If is .... Trilokpuri riots, the Sangh Parivar’s reconversion campaign, and provocative speeches by BJP leaders seem to have strengthened the resolve of Muslims to defeat the BJP, with only 2 per cent of them voting for the party .So are the causes of behind only 2 per cent of muslims voting for BJP in the 2014 Lokshabha elections too ?? The truth is muslims hardly ever votes BJP . And it has been same from the beginning.
    Reply
  3. A
    aks
    Feb 13, 2015 at 4:03 am
    what is the data source ?
    Reply
  4. J
    jack
    Feb 13, 2015 at 11:19 am
    Why should Muslims vote for communal party like BJP?
    Reply
  5. S
    SGS
    Feb 12, 2015 at 12:54 pm
    How did the author arrive at these data? What is the source?
    Reply
  6. D
    Dp
    Feb 12, 2015 at 7:05 pm
    How did you calculate these figures? Is this kind of data with my caste/religion and the party that I voted for available? If not, and if that is just based on some survey, then mention it explicitly.
    Reply
  7. A
    arshad hussain
    Feb 12, 2015 at 8:26 am
    This is a totally fallacious post and stastical analysis , even if AAP got 9 out of 10 seats in muslim dominated constuenties , I.e a 90% mandate which is still less than the over all mondate of 95% which it got from all over the delhi, unless hindues wouldn't have voted for AAP so over whelemingly all over the delhi, such a big victory for AAP would have been totally unlikely, if AAP got 9 out of 10 seats from muslim dominated constuencies then it also bagged 58 out of the rest 60 hindu dominated areas which is more than 95% mondate to AAP from hindues and they are not considered anti BJP , this post and analysis is simply meant to project minorities as villians in the eyes of BJP with which I don't feel agree, if the w delihi potion has rejected BJP then why to project only minorities i.. muslims and sikhs as haters of BJP
    Reply
  8. K
    krishna
    Feb 12, 2015 at 9:36 am
    You are such a s mr.sardesai..if AAP won 9 out of 10 muslim dominated seats that means they won 58 out of 60 in hindu dominated areas...why did you leave that out?so that you can psychologically turn majority of 88%potion of hindus against AAP by playing communal card...when will you learn and when will you ever start working for the country!
    Reply
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