The Joint Electricity Regulatory Commission (JERC) on Friday accepted the load forecast study conducted by the electricity department on the direction of the commission.
The department had moved a petition in respect to load forecast study along with the preparation of action plan for short term (2-5 years), medium term (7-10 years) and long term (15-25 years) period.
UT additional superintending engineer Subhash Saini said: “The study has been accepted and the commission will issue its directive based on it shortly.”
The existing power infrastructure is under pressure with every increasing load. The south sectors face frequent outages during the peak summer season owing to overload of transformers, which has been observed to be more than 95 per cent in the past few years.
According to the JERC guidelines, the load of a transformer cannot be more than 80 per cent of its capacity.
The study has pointed out power shortage during the peak hours in the next two years.
According to the power projection for 2017-18 and 2018-19, the department will have deficit power during peak hours despite having overall excess energy. Peak hour refers to a period of high consumer demand.
As per the peak projection for 2017-18, the department will have a deficit of 112 megawatt (MW). Against projected peak load of 477MW, the department has 304MW. In the subsequent year, the deficit will increase to 130MW. Against the demand of 496MW, the department has made arrangement for 366MW.
The report has suggested that the deficit power requirement can be sourced from long-term power purchase agreements and other bilateral agreements.
The deficit will result in high peak stress on an already aging and capped distribution system of the department, thus causing breakdowns.