Votes are being counted in 14 Assembly and Lok Sabha constituencies across seven states in the country. Elections were conducted on Saturday in Tamil Nadu’s Thanjavur, Aravakurichi and Tiruparakundram seats, West Bengal’s Tamluk and Cooch Behar parliamentary seats and the Assembly constituency of Monteshwar, Tripura’s Khowai and Barjala seats, Assam’s Lakhimpur and Baithalangso, Madhya Pradesh’s Shahdol and Nepanagar, Arunachal Pradesh’s Hayuliang and Puducherry’s Nellithope.
The results are significant as these are the first elections conducted after the government’s decision to demonetise high value currency notes of Rs 500 and Rs 1000.
BJP wins Lakhimpur Lok Sabha seat and one assembly seat in Assam
While these numbers below certainly need to be verified, they are interesting to look at. If the Trinamool has managed to increase its vote-share, then it points to its absolute dominance in the state as well as Mamata Banerjee’s national outreach against the government’s demonetisation move.
So far, if we are go by trends, this is how the parties stand across states:
The Monteshwar result we were waiting for.
TMC candidate Saikat Panja has defeated his nearest CPIM rival Md Osman Gani Sarkar by 1,27,127 votes.
BJP’s Gyan Singh wins Lok Sabha seat from Shahdol in Madhya Pradesh by a margin of 60383 votes.
TMC candidate Partha Pratim Roy wins Cooch Behar Lok Sabha seat by 4,13,231 votes in West Bengal by-polls.
Senior BJP leader and Assam minister Himanta Biswa Sarma says the party has won both seats in Assam. We will have to wait for a confirmation though.
Arunachal CM Pema Khandu congratulates Dasanglu Pul for winning the by-election to the Hayuliang Assembly constituency.
Meanwhile, the Trinamool Congress is all set to sweep the three seats in Bengal with good margins.
ALERT: BJP wins Lok Sabha seat of Shahdol in Madhya Pradesh. We are yet to know what the vote margin is, but this will be a sweet victory for Shivraj Singh Chouhan who had campaigned extensively in Shahdol. Also because the last time the BJP contested a Lok Sabha bypoll in the state, it got a drubbing from the Congress – Jhabua Ratlam.
We are still waiting for updates on some of the seats that have gone for by-elections in Arunachal Pradesh, Assam and Tamil Nadu.
ANI projects Thanjavur win for AIADMK.
Tamil Nadu: AIADMK wins by 26,483 votes on Thanjavur assembly seat
— ANI (@ANI_news) November 22, 2016
We have an update from Assam.
In Baithalangso, the BJP candidate Mansing Rongpi is leading over his nearest Congress rival Rupensing Ronghang by 4,835 votes
The Hindu is reporting that AIADMK has won the Thanjavur seat in Tamil Nadu. Stay back for official confirmation of the same.
And there’s the confirmation of a result which is again not surprising. From the opening round, the TMC candidate had a lead.
So the winning margin for the BJP in Nepanagar, Madhya Pradesh is 42,198 votes over the nearest Congress candidate.
According to reports, the BJP candidate in Hayuliang in Arunachal has a slender lead over the Independent candidate. A win here will be a shot in the arm for Pema Khandu and the PPA which supports the BJP candidate.
Trinamool Congress claims it has won the Monteshwar Assembly seat. We still have to wait for agency or official ECI results to confirm this news.
The Hindu reports that the AIADMK has a phenomenal lead in all the three seats that went for by-elections. In Thanjavur especially, the AIADMK candidate seems to have a 26,000 vote lead.
It will be interesting to see if the BJP makes some kind of gains in these elections in the state.
IF this is true, it is indeed grave news for the Congress. In a state where the Congress has always stuck to the opposition role, it could be ceding that space as well.
In Tripura, Congress Vote has nosedived from 43% plus to just about 2% votes. This is MASSIVE downswing. BJP makes HUGE North East inroads.
— Yashwant Deshmukh (@YRDeshmukh) November 22, 2016
UPDATE: So as per ANI projections, the BJP has won the Nepanagar Assembly bypoll in Madhya Pradesh, its candidate winning by almost 40,000 votes. Now, that’s a good margin of victory in an Assembly seat.
As per Trinamool projections, the party has a lead of 2.5 lakh votes in the Tamluk parliamentary seat. Over 80% of the voters in the constituency had gone to the ballots on Saturday.
As per PTI projections:
Coochbehar: Parthapratim Roy of TMC leading over his BJP rival Hemchandra Burman by 30,000 votes.
Tamluk: Dibyendu Adhikari of TMC leading over his CPIM rival Mandira Panda by over 90,000 votes.
Mamata Banerjee, who had made her opposition to the government’s demonetisation move very clear, seems to have made good gains in the seats that went for by-election. Her party says it is leading in Monteshwar by 44,000 votes and in Tamluk by 96,000 votes. Those are healthy leads. What could be interesting to watch as to who emerges in the second position in these seats? There were reports that the BJP could make rapid inroads to replace the CPM as the main opposition party in the state.
Results from the Arunachal by-poll are still awaited. It’s significant as the state has gone through several twists and turns over the last one year. Right now, the state is ruled by the PPA, which is an ally of the BJP.
Results from the Maharashtra MLC election also pours in. Looks like a mixed bag for all major parties.
Maharashtra legislative council: Out of 6 seats Congress and BJP win 2 each, NCP and Shiv Sena win 1 each
— ANI (@ANI_news) November 22, 2016
So Narayanasamy has emerged the winner in the Nellithope by-election. Although he is the Congress chief minister of the UT, he does not have a seat. He has also served previously as a MoS of Parliamentary Affairs in the previous UPA administration.
Jayalalithaa’s party is sure looking to consolidate its majority in the state Assembly with the leads that are being projected right now in the two Assembly seats. The AIADMK had won the state elections in May, defeating predictions that a ruling party has not been voted back to power in the state since 1984. Though the mandate was smaller than 2011, wins in these by-elections would be a boost for the AIADMK.
Do bypoll seats have a tendency to go to the ruling party? Tell us in comments below.
The Hindu is reporting that the AIADMK has a decent lead over the DMK in the Thanjavur and Thiruparankundram assembly seats. Jayalalithaa’s party also reportedly has a lead in Aravakurichi seat.
To give our readers an update in bypolls in other states as well, the Trinamool has a handsome margin in the Cooch Behar parliamentary seat. At this stage, it looks like the party will go on to win that seat.
Also in Assam, the BJP is looking to make a big lead over the Congress. Right now, the BJP has a 12,000-vote lead over the Congress.
Just about 10 minutes ago, the BJP was leading by 10,000 votes in the Shahdol Lok Sabha seat. That kind of margin is significant in a seat the party will be looking to retain. Remember, the BJP lost only two Lok Sabha seats in Madhya Pradesh in 2014. If the Congress manages to make an upset in Shahdol, that will be embarrassing for the BJP and for Shivraj Singh Chouhan.
Again, the Congress winning in Puducherry is not surprising considering they are the ruling party in the union territory. Also Puducherry just went to polls to elect a new government in May, so voter sentiments are not likely to change in the course of a few months.
ALERT: We have a result from Nellithope in Puducherry where Congress has emerged the winner. Again this is as per ANI projections. The ECI has not officially put out the results yet.
ANI was reporting that in the Barjala Assembly seat in Tripura, the BJP was trailing CPM in the second position. That’s significant considering the saffron party does not have a big base in the northeastern state.
ALERT: Within two hours, the first solid results are already here and they are not a surprise. In Tripura, where the Left is in power, the CPM has won both the seats of Barjala and Khowai.
Welcome to the live blog where we cover all the latest updates from the seven states where by-elections have been held. Results are pouring in as we speak. Remember, these results will be seen by major political parties as a sort of referendum on what people think of the government’s decision to demonetise high currency notes.