In bypolls, it’s clear Advantage BJP, some comfort for Congress too

The upset victory came in Delhi where the Aam Aadmi Party lost Rajouri Garden, a seat won by it in 2015 by a margin of 10036 votes.

Written by Manoj C G | New Delhi | Published:April 14, 2017 5:18 am
Assembly bypolls, bypolls, bypolls BJP, BJP by-elections, AAP Rajouri Garden, TMC bypolls, BSP bypolls, Congress bypolls, India news, Indian Express BJP President Amit Shah greets BJP-Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD) joint candidate Manjinder Singh Sirsa for his victory in the Rajouri Garden bypoll, at his residence in New Delhi on Thursday. (PTI Photo by Subhav Shukla)

It is Advantage BJP in the Assembly bypolls in eight states. The party won five out of the ten seats, up from three as it snatched one seat each from AAP in Delhi and BSP in Rajasthan, and stunned everyone coming second in the lone seat in West Bengal with a massive increase in vote share.

The big surprise was in Delhi where the ruling AAP was pushed to the third place, days ahead of the crucial municipal corporation elections. Congress retained the three seats it had and much to its relief came second in Delhi, but could not win the lone seat in poll-bound Himachal Pradesh.

There was good news from election-bound Karnataka though for the Congress as it won both the seats with increased victory margins. While there were worrying signals for the BJP in Karnataka, the BJP victory in Bhoranj seat in Himachal Pradesh would be a wake-up call for Chief Minister Virbhadra Singh who is battling corruption charges. The bypolls in Karnataka and Himachal were seen as a precursor to Assembly elections due later this year.

The upset victory came in Delhi where the Aam Aadmi Party lost Rajouri Garden, a seat won by it in 2015 by a margin of 10036 votes. The outcome assume huge political significance as municipal corporation elections are just ten days away. The AAP’s vote share plunged from 46.55 per cent to 13.12 per cent. BJP increased its 38.04 vote share to 51.99 per cent. BJP’s Manjinder Singh Sirsa won by a margin of 14652 votes. The seat was vacated by Jarnail Singh who unsuccessfully fought against Parkash Singh Badal in Punjab.

Congress’s A Meenakshi Chandela came second as the party increased its vote share of 12 per cent to 33.23 per cent. “AAP’s loss is our gain,” AICC general secretary in charge of Delhi P C Chacko told The Indian Express. AAP’s votes plunged from 54916 to 10243, a loss of 44673 votes. “AAP phenomenon was a temporary phenomenon. Once and for all that is finished. In the MCD elections, it is going to be a direct fight between the Congress and the BJP,” Chacko said.

The other surprise outcome came in Kanthi Dakshin seat in West Bengal. While the Trinamool Congress retained the seat and increased its vote share and victory margin, the BJP stunned everyone finishing second. TMC vote share increased from 53.72 per cent to 55.89 per cent. The BJP vote share, which was a meager 8.76 per cent, jumped to 30.97. It had got 15223 votes last time. Today, it ended up with 52843 votes.

Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee, however said, “Who will be in the second or third position is not my concern. That people have again extended their support to us shows that they have liked our work. So we have to continue our work in a more humble manner.”

The BJP’s surprise increase seems to be at the expense of the Left. The CPI, which bagged 59,469 votes and came second with a vote share of 34.22 per cent last time, was pushed to the third place. Its candidate got a mere 17,423 votes and a vote share of 10.21 per cent. The Congress, which was an also ran, remained so, as its candidate got just 2270 votes.

The Congress victory in Nanjangud in Karnataka was sweet revenge for Chief Minister Siddaramaiah. The election was held after sitting Congress MLA V Srinivasa Prasad quit the party over differences with the Chief Minister. He later joined the BJP.

Prasad, who had won the seat for the Congress with a margin of 8941 votes, was defeated today by a margin of 21334 votes. The Congress also triumphed in Gundlupet seat also where its candidate Geetha Mahadeva, the widow of late minister H C Mahadeva Prasad, defeated the BJP by over 10,000 votes.

Although the BJP is weak in Southern Karnataka, its state chief BS Yeddyurappa had camped in both the seats making it a prestige battle. With Srinivasa Prasad leaving the party after he was dropped from the cabinet, Siddaramaiah had roped in Kalale N Keshavamurthy from the JD(S). He was the JD(S) candidate last time. Nanjangud was a defector versus defector contest and the Congress won. The by-elections were to set the tone for the Assembly elections scheduled in November-December.

The BJP victory in Bhoranj seat has come as a setback to the Congress government in Himachal Pradesh where, like Karnataka, Assembly elections are due in November-December. The victory margin of BJP’s Anil Dhiman was just around 2000 less than that of his late father Ishwar Dass Dhiman in 2012.

The BJP’s victory in Dholpur seat in Rajasthan was also creditable. It had come third in the last Assembly election. Its vote share saw a massive jump from 26.82 per cent to 61.79 per cent. The Congress too increased its vote share from 30.87 to 35.69 per cent but its candidate Banwari Lal Sharma lost to BJP’s Shobha Rani Kushavah by a margin of over 38,000 votes. The BJP also retained the Dehmaji seat in Assam, although with a reduced margin.

Like Rajasthan, Assembly elections are due in Madhya Pradesh next year. There were no surprises though. Both the Congress and the BJP retained their respective seats – Congress with a hugely reduced margin. Congress’s Hemant Katare won from Ater by a margin of 857 votes. His father, the late leader of the Opposition

Satyadev Katare, had won the seat by a margin of 11426 seats.

The BJP increased its vote share from 30 per cent to 47.31 per cent. On the other hand, the BJP increased in vote share and victory margin in Bandhavgarh. Its vote share increased from 46.57 per cent to 54.95 per cent.

The JMM retained Jharkhand’s Littipara seat. Its candidate Simon Marandi defeated BJP’s Hemlal Murmu by 12900 votes. Marandi was the BJP candidate from the seat last time. Here also, the BJP increased its vote share from 28.78 per cent to 37.26 per cent. The JMM vote share too increased but marginally, from 45.93 to 46.39 per cent.

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  1. B
    Briju Yadavad
    Apr 14, 2017 at 9:10 pm
    There was no surprise on AAP defeat in Delhi. It was evident after they lost terrifically in Goa & made marginal presence in Punjab. Post MCD elections they will leave their Gujarat plan too.
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    1. R
      Rakesh Katyal
      Apr 14, 2017 at 1:48 pm
      AK should rope in Mamta and Lalu for MCD elections. Alone he will not be able to pull it off.
      Reply
      1. P
        Pradeep Phadke
        Apr 14, 2017 at 11:27 am
        Where ever BJP has won it is due to EVM- Tweet from AK the great
        Reply
        1. P
          Pooran Gyan
          Apr 14, 2017 at 4:04 pm
          Obviously, you cannot get 51.99 percent votes without tampering with the EVMs.
          Reply
        2. M
          mulaji
          Apr 14, 2017 at 11:14 am
          Victory of congress in karntakais due to good governance by Sidhramya & also due to Sonia hi. In karnatka there is no anti romio squad or anti majnu squad like MP or UP, but there are vans to help women in distress. More rational approach. Sonia hi has also shown scientific temperament by going to USA for her medical treatment. She has not gone to stupid Patanjali Ayurved. She has acknowledged the superiority of Foreign doctors over Indian ones (Many Indian allopathic doctors also give homeopathic or unani medicines hence not trustworthy). On the other hand diyurappa of BJP is superstisious and corrupt. Sonia proved superior.
          Reply
          1. M
            mulaji
            Apr 14, 2017 at 11:07 am
            Victory of congress in karntakais due to good governance by Sidhramya & also due to Sonia hi. In karnatka there is no anti romio squad or anti majnu squad like MP or UP, but there are vans to help women in distress. More rational approach. Sonia hi has also shown scientiic temperament by going to USA fo her medical treatment. She has not gone to stupid Patanjali Ayurved. She has acknowledged the superiority of Foreign doctors over Indian ones (Many Indian allopathic doctors also give homeopathic or unani medicines hence not trustworthy). On the other hand diurappa of BJP is supers ious and corrupt. Sonia proved superior.
            Reply
            1. P
              Pooran Gyan
              Apr 14, 2017 at 4:01 pm
              When Congress returns to power, Sonia ji will send all Indians to USA when they need treatment.
              Reply
            2. S
              shaurya
              Apr 14, 2017 at 10:32 am
              great victory for bjp but not landslide win.revival of congress good for democracy..!!.
              Reply
              1. F
                fromlans ofsatan
                Apr 14, 2017 at 6:22 pm
                Good one..these shameless congi will go far low to lick the Italian bar girl.Any one acceptable except from the currupt self centered fake his.
                Reply
              2. J
                John
                Apr 14, 2017 at 10:17 am
                प्रखर वक्ता एवं राजनेता रुमाना सिद्दीकी लिखती है अच्छा लगा इसलिए पोस्ट कर रहा हूं क्या कहना है आपका जरा पढ़ कर देखिए):~ रूमाना सिद्दीक़ी जी लिखती हैं की , कब आँखे खोलोगे मुसलमानो ?? 1. आप 1400 से ज्यादा सालोँ से अपने हक के लिए लड़े जा रहे है, अल्लाह जाने कौन सा हक़ है जो पूरी दुनियाँ आपको 1400 सालों से नही दे पा रही... 2. आप सिर्फ लड़ने के लिए ही पैदा हुए, जहाँ गैर मुस्लिम है वहां आप उनसे लड़ रहे है, जहाँ गैर मुस्लिम नही है वहां आप आपस में ही लड़ रहे है... 3. आप लड़ना बन्द नही कर सकते इसलिए कम से कम लड़ाई के तरीके बदलिए ताकि आप की हार जीत में बदल सके... आप मेरे देखते देखते 2014 के बाद से भारत में लगातार राजनैतिक रूप से हार रहे है... आप के योगदान के बिना सरकारें बन रही, आपकी मर्जी के खिलाफ पीएम और सीएम बन रहे है... लोग आपको आपकी विचारधारा को नकार रहे हैं... अपने खिलाफ ये नकारात्मक माहौल आपका खुद का बनाया हुआ है..
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                1. D
                  Dr M
                  Apr 14, 2017 at 9:59 am
                  The author conviniently avoided the increased vote of BJP in Karnataka. In both the seats , BJP had single digit and now has increased by leaps and bounds. having done the analysis in all states, why this was avoided . BJP i am sure will capture Karnataka too next year.
                  Reply
                  1. H
                    Haridas Rao
                    Apr 14, 2017 at 8:42 am
                    After seeing the by poll results it seems that the Congress has also learned how to hack EVM's. Thank God its not a BJP monopoly anymore. Soon we will have all parties learning how to hack EVM's.- AAP,BSP,CPI(M) etc.etc. Inthe next election every party will get 100 of all votes - and soon elections will be decided by a spin of the coin.No doubt the BJP & the EC will find a way to mani te that also. This will lead to a demand to go back to the old system -& we will have EVM's once again !
                    Reply
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                      PURUSHOTTAM
                      Apr 14, 2017 at 7:55 am
                      Shame on the people of Delhi. They should have seen the development even though most of the budget was spent on self publicity & for paying Mr. Jethmalani but attack is the best weapon when in crisis. They have committed a grave mistake by voting for the fekus. They did not see that TMC is still po r despite all the scandals. Hope, they will elect the honestestest, the humblest & hardly working AAP. Oh, almighty, pardon them for they know not, what they are doing. Amen. Allah- u- Akbar, Ya Ali, Ya Mustufa.
                      Reply
                      1. p
                        pkrfeb57@gmail
                        Apr 14, 2017 at 8:45 am
                        shut up you illeterate
                        Reply
                        1. S
                          sridhar rao
                          Apr 14, 2017 at 10:52 am
                          It is typical " tolerant" voice of sickular?
                          1. S
                            Shambhu
                            Apr 14, 2017 at 10:54 am
                            He is being sarcastic, you absolute . And it's spelled as 'illiterate'.
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