Prediction better,economic models should match
Even as predictions in the Indian subcontinent has improved,a lot needs to be done here as well as across the world, said World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) Secretary-General Dr Michel Jerraud on the sidelines of the International Conference on Opportunities and Challenges in Monsoon Prediction in a Changing Climate.
The meet was organised by the Indian Institute of Tropical Metereology. (IITM)
Though the Indian government is striving for better prediction models,there should be processes not just for climate predictors but also economic predictors so that it can be sustained…, he said.
Addressing the media,he called for strengthening observations and scientific research. Climate science is a complex system and a lot still needs to be done across the world. Of course,a lot of it has improved over the years as data available ten years back is not how it is now , he said.
He,however,said that with such scientific study,countries need to ready economic predictors so that the model can be sustained. There is a lot of cost involved in setting up the models and each country has to work on an economic model, he said.
He said WMO is willing to help countries come out with such models. There are a lot of tie-ups with many countries on this front. He said that a lot of data is generated in all developing countries and it is being assessed by WMO. He said that with parameters set by the WMO,all countries are bound to follow these programmes.
On Indias predictions,he said it had definitely improved. The country is giving data five days in advance and we can say we have been improving one day in quality every year, he said.
He said that there were a lot of phenomena like El Nina and La Nina not understood earlier but have been researched and new readings have been made. We cant say 100 per cent of predictions are right,however we are striving for better predictions, he said. He said that for all this,there is a constant need of upgrading technology ,he said.
Secretary,Ministry of Earth Sciences,Shailesh Nayak,said the country is developing a petaflop to improve predictions. He said the country was also carrying out the monsoon mission and by April,all proposals will be finalised. IITM director B N Goswami gave an overview of development of IITM,which was under the IMD before it became a separate institute.