Pollsters failed, Hillary endorsements backfired. The US media needs to introspect where it went wrong

The US media would have you believe this is an upset, a shock, a surprise. They’re wrong.

Written by Rahul Sabharwal | Updated: November 9, 2016 7:52 pm
Donald Trump, Trump, Trump wins, Trump news, Donald Trump news, US elections, US polls, US President, new US president, Hillary Clinton, US results, US final results, US news US President-elect Donald Trump. (Reuters)

Make no mistake, Donald Trump’s rise is not an aberration. It is the sum total of months of campaigning, where people had countless opportunities to reject him but didn’t. This was a conscious decision by the world’s strongest democracy.

WATCH VIDEO: US Presidential Elections 2016: Why US Media Needs To Introspect

The US media would have you believe this is an upset, a shock, a surprise. They’re wrong. The New York Times had a poll predictor running for the last few weeks, which put Hillary Clinton’s chances of winning at 85-90%. Many other newspapers, websites and TV channels made the same mistake, relying on pollsters instead of putting their ear to the ground.

The signs were in front of them — the massive turnouts at Trump rallies, a majority frustrated with joblessness and driven by a fear of terror, a general distrust of Hillary that she had been unable to shake off — but they chose to interpret everything in a way that suited them.

The second takeaway for the US media is how the trend of endorsing a candidate has backfired. In an endorsement titled ‘Hillary Clinton for President’, the NYT had called Trump “the worst nominee put forward by a major party in modern American history”. The Atlantic, too, backed Hillary — the third time in the magazine’s 160-year history that it made a presidential endorsement. These are just two names in a long list that threw its weight behind the Democrat candidate.

WATCH VIDEO: US Presidential Elections 2016: Here Is The Full Process

Except, none of it mattered. The media now has to introspect on two things:

One, whether endorsing a candidate does more harm than good, especially in a world where people want more control, not someone to tell them what to do, who to pick. This is even more relevant in a landscape where large sections of the population distrust the media, and could be put off by an endorsement.

Two, whether backing one candidate blinds a newspaper or website to the gains made by the other. Whether it affects neutrality in coverage, and whether it brings bias to reportage.

The US media will have fresh challenges now that Trump — a man who has called editors and reporters “dishonest”, “crooked” and “liars”, and accused them of rigging the elections in favour of Hillary — is president. Now more than ever, it must come out of its bubble and engage with the ones it criticises.

Views expressed by the author are personal.

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  1. O
    Outraged Indian
    Nov 10, 2016 at 12:09 am
    People power TRUMPs media !! The fourth pillar of democracy is it's citizens and not media/ press... like it or not.
    Reply
  2. P
    PKR
    Nov 9, 2016 at 1:05 pm
    Has the Indian media carried out any retrospection since 2014? Why is the sinner preaching others? Reform yourself first ,the public has repeatedly ignored your reports, announcements and biased analysis. The good old days of Arun Shourie need to come back, ghar wapsi by the media is a must.
    Reply
  3. S
    sonu
    Nov 9, 2016 at 11:38 am
    rather indian media should introspect first... dont teach others wht u dont follow.. indian media is mouthpiece of congress aap and communists.. media spreads hatred against modi.. didn't u presutse endorsed sonia hi and rahul hi?? the modi kicked u on ur $as trump did same to us media.. world is rising
    Reply
  4. V
    Vinu Koratty
    Nov 9, 2016 at 12:24 pm
    It will be a good idea for the Commi run Indian media to introspect as well. It wont be a sad day when India starts hunting you down for high treachery.
    Reply
  5. R
    Rakesh Katyal
    Nov 9, 2016 at 12:46 pm
    I think there are lot of similarities in US and Indian media. New York Times is something like NDTV of India. No balnced analysis, just pushing own agenda.
    Reply
  6. R
    Raman Govindan
    Nov 12, 2016 at 9:09 am
    the media and the so called secular/rational thinkers treated minor trangression of few Hindus with sledge hammer and treated the violent atude of the several minority and backward cl people and irrational behavior of dynastic congress and its coteries who coordinated their efforts to sully NMody and the BJP, and throw breaks at raising the living standard of Indians, people understood and defeated them in the last general election. still they had not learnt the lesson as they feel rightly ground under them is caving. and they make last minute effort to save themselves by any means!
    Reply
  7. S
    Shyam
    Nov 9, 2016 at 11:36 am
    Worlwide the intellectuals are not in touch with people on ground. World is changing
    Reply
  8. S
    Santanu Roy
    Nov 9, 2016 at 3:32 pm
    I am looking forward to Surjit Bhalla's next column.If I sitting in my room can understand thelt;br/gt;frustration and anxiety of American people it is strange that he,with the kind of position helt;br/gt;holds had no idea about the mood of that nation.Column after column he he fed us withlt;br/gt;his personal prejudice camouflaged by some gibberish statistics and drawing inferenceslt;br/gt;from them.Do you call that psephology?
    Reply
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